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Chapter 9: Hypothesis Testing with One Sample

44 problems · 1 figure

9-1 §9.1 source ↗

You are testing that the mean speed of your cable Internet connection is more than three Megabits per second. What is the random variable? Describe in words.

Answer

The random variable is the mean Internet speed in Megabits per second.

9-3 §9.1 source ↗

The American family has an average of two children. What is the random variable? Describe in words.

Answer

The random variable is the mean number of children an American family has.

9-5 §9.1 source ↗

A sociologist claims the probability that a person picked at random in Times Square in New York City is visiting the area is 0.83. You want to test to see if the proportion is actually less. What is the random variable? Describe in words.

Answer

The random variable is the proportion of people picked at random in Times Square visiting the city.

9-7 §9.1 source ↗

In a population of fish, approximately 42% are female. A test is conducted to see if, in fact, the proportion is less. State the null and alternative hypotheses.

Answer

a. H0: p = 0.42

b. Ha: p < 0.42

9-9 §9.1 source ↗

A random survey of 75 people with student loans revealed that the mean length of time in repayment is 17.4 years with a standard deviation of 6.3 years. If you were conducting a hypothesis test to determine if the population mean time in repayment could likely be 15 years, what would the null and alternative hypotheses be?

a. H0: __________

b. Ha: __________

Answer

a. H0: μ = 15

b. Ha: μ ≠ 15

9-11 §9.2 source ↗

The mean price of mid-sized cars in a region is $32,000. A test is conducted to see if the claim is true. State the Type I and Type II errors in complete sentences.

Answer

Type I: The mean price of mid-sized cars is $32,000, but we conclude that it is not $32,000.

Type II: The mean price of mid-sized cars is not $32,000, but we conclude that it is $32,000.

9-13 §9.2 source ↗

For Exercise 9.12, what are α and β in words?

Answer

α = the probability that you think the bag cannot withstand -15 degrees F, when in fact it can

β = the probability that you think the bag can withstand -15 degrees F, when in fact it cannot

9-15 §9.2 source ↗

A group of doctors is deciding whether or not to perform an operation. Suppose the null hypothesis, H0, is: the surgical procedure will go well. State the Type I and Type II errors in complete sentences.

Answer

Type I: The procedure will go well, but the doctors think it will not.

Type II: The procedure will not go well, but the doctors think it will.

9-17 §9.2 source ↗

The power of a test is 0.981. What is the probability of a Type II error?

Answer

0.019

9-19 §9.2 source ↗

A microbiologist is testing a water sample for E-coli. Suppose the null hypothesis, H0, is: the sample does not contain E-coli. The probability that the sample does not contain E-coli, but the microbiologist thinks it does is 0.012. The probability that the sample does contain E-coli, but the microbiologist thinks it does not is 0.002. What is the power of this test?

Answer

0.998

9-21 §9.3 source ↗

Which two distributions can you use for hypothesis testing for this chapter?

Answer

A normal distribution or a Student’s t-distribution

9-23 §9.3 source ↗

Which distribution do you use when the standard deviation is not known and you are testing one population mean? Assume a normal distribution, with n ≥ 30.

Answer

Use a Student’s t-distribution

9-25 §9.3 source ↗

A population has a mean is 25 and a standard deviation of five. The sample mean is 24, and the sample size is 108. What distribution should you use to perform a hypothesis test?

Answer

a normal distribution for a single population mean

9-27 §9.3 source ↗

You are performing a hypothesis test of a single population mean using a Student’s t-distribution. What must you assume about the distribution of the data?

Answer

It must be approximately normally distributed.

9-29 §9.3 source ↗

You are performing a hypothesis test of a single population proportion. What must be true about the quantities of np and nq?

Answer

They must both be greater than five.

9-31 §9.3 source ↗

You are performing a hypothesis test of a single population proportion. The data come from which distribution?

Answer

binomial distribution

9-32 §9.4 source ↗

Assume H0: μ = 9 and Ha: μ < 9. Is this a left-tailed, right-tailed, or two-tailed test?

Answer

This is a left-tailed test.

9-34 §9.4 source ↗

Assume H0: p = 0.25 and Ha: p ≠ 0.25. Is this a left-tailed, right-tailed, or two-tailed test?

Answer

This is a two-tailed test.

9-36 §9.4 source ↗

Draw the graph of a two-tailed test.

Answer

Figure 9.12 in the book ↗

9-38 §9.4 source ↗

Your friend claims that their mean golf score is 63. You want to show that it is higher than that. What type of test would you use?

Answer

a right-tailed test

9-40 §9.4 source ↗

You flip a coin and record whether it shows heads or tails. You know the probability of getting heads is 50%, but you think it is less for this particular coin. What type of test would you use?

Answer

a left-tailed test

9-42 §9.4 source ↗

Assume the null hypothesis states that the mean is at least 18. Is this a left-tailed, right-tailed, or two-tailed test?

Answer

This is a left-tailed test.

9-44 §9.4 source ↗

Assume the null hypothesis states that the mean is equal to 88. The alternative hypothesis states that the mean is not equal to 88. Is this a left-tailed, right-tailed, or two-tailed test?

Answer

This is a two-tailed test.

9-45 §9.1 source ↗

Some of the following statements refer to the null hypothesis, some to the alternate hypothesis.

State the null hypothesis, H0, and the alternative hypothesis. Ha, in terms of the appropriate parameter (μ or p).

a. The mean number of years Americans work before retiring is 34.

b. At most 60% of Americans vote in presidential elections.

c. The mean starting salary for San Jose State University graduates is at least $100,000 per year.

d. Twenty-nine percent of high school seniors get drunk each month.

e. Fewer than 5% of adults ride the bus to work in Los Angeles.

f. The mean number of cars a person owns in her lifetime is not more than ten.

g. About half of Americans prefer to live away from cities, given the choice.

h. Europeans have a mean paid vacation each year of six weeks.

i. The chance of developing breast cancer is under 11% for females.

j. Private universities' mean tuition cost is more than $20,000 per year.

Answer

a. H0: μ = 34; Ha: μ ≠ 34

b. H0: p ≤ 0.60; Ha: p > 0.60

c. H0: μ ≥ 100,000; Ha: μ < 100,000

d. H0: p = 0.29; Ha: p ≠ 0.29

e. H0: p = 0.05; Ha: p < 0.05

f. H0: μ ≤ 10; Ha: μ > 10

g. H0: p = 0.50; Ha: p ≠ 0.50

h. H0: μ = 6; Ha: μ ≠ 6

i. H0: p ≥ 0.11; Ha: p < 0.11

j. H0: μ ≤ 20,000; Ha: μ > 20,000

9-47 §9.1 source ↗

A statistics instructor believes that fewer than 20% of Evergreen Valley College (EVC) students attended the opening night midnight showing of the latest Marvel Universe movie. The instructor surveys 84 students and finds that 11 attended the midnight showing. An appropriate alternative hypothesis is:

a. p = 0.20

b. p > 0.20

c. p < 0.20

d. p ≤ 0.20

Answer

c

9-49 §9.2 source ↗

State the Type I and Type II errors in complete sentences given the following statements.

a. The mean number of years Americans work before retiring is 34.

b. At most 60% of Americans vote in presidential elections.

c. The mean starting salary for San Jose State University graduates is at least $100,000 per year.

d. Twenty-nine percent of high school seniors get drunk each month.

e. Fewer than 5% of adults ride the bus to work in Los Angeles.

f. The mean number of cars a person owns in their lifetime is not more than ten.

g. About half of Americans prefer to live away from cities, given the choice.

h. Europeans have a mean paid vacation each year of six weeks.

i. The chance of developing breast cancer is under 11% for females.

j. Private universities mean tuition cost is more than $20,000 per year.

Answer

a. Type I error: We conclude that the mean is not 34 years, when it really is 34 years. Type II error: We conclude that the mean is 34 years, when in fact it really is not 34 years.

b. Type I error: We conclude that more than 60% of Americans vote in presidential elections, when the actual percentage is at most 60%.Type II error: We conclude that at most 60% of Americans vote in presidential elections when, in fact, more than 60% do.

c. Type I error: We conclude that the mean starting salary is less than $100,000, when it really is at least $100,000. Type II error: We conclude that the mean starting salary is at least $100,000 when, in fact, it is less than $100,000.

d. Type I error: We conclude that the proportion of high school seniors who get drunk each month is not 29%, when it really is 29%. Type II error: We conclude that the proportion of high school seniors who get drunk each month is 29% when, in fact, it is not 29%.

e. Type I error: We conclude that fewer than 5% of adults ride the bus to work in Los Angeles, when the percentage that do is really 5% or more. Type II error: We conclude that 5% or more adults ride the bus to work in Los Angeles when, in fact, fewer that 5% do.

f. Type I error: We conclude that the mean number of cars a person owns in their lifetime is more than 10, when in reality it is not more than 10. Type II error: We conclude that the mean number of cars a person owns in their lifetime is not more than 10 when, in fact, it is more than 10.

g. Type I error: We conclude that the proportion of Americans who prefer to live away from cities is not about half, though the actual proportion is about half. Type II error: We conclude that the proportion of Americans who prefer to live away from cities is half when, in fact, it is not half.

h. Type I error: We conclude that the duration of paid vacations each year for Europeans is not six weeks, when in fact it is six weeks. Type II error: We conclude that the duration of paid vacations each year for Europeans is six weeks when, in fact, it is not.

i. Type I error: We conclude that the proportion is less than 11%, when it is really at least 11%. Type II error: We conclude that the proportion of females who develop breast cancer is at least 11%, when in fact it is less than 11%.

j. Type I error: We conclude that the average tuition cost at private universities is more than $20,000, though in reality it is at most $20,000. Type II error: We conclude that the average tuition cost at private universities is at most $20,000 when, in fact, it is more than $20,000.

9-51 §9.2 source ↗

When a new drug is created, the pharmaceutical company must subject it to testing before receiving the necessary permission from the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) to market the drug. Suppose the null hypothesis is “the drug is unsafe.” What is the Type II Error?

a. To conclude the drug is safe when in, fact, it is unsafe.

b. Not to conclude the drug is safe when, in fact, it is safe.

c. To conclude the drug is safe when, in fact, it is safe.

d. Not to conclude the drug is unsafe when, in fact, it is unsafe.

Answer

b

9-53 §9.2 source ↗

It is believed that Lake Tahoe Community College (LTCC) Intermediate Algebra students get less than seven hours of sleep per night, on average. A survey of 22 LTCC Intermediate Algebra students generated a mean of 7.24 hours with a standard deviation of 1.93 hours. At a level of significance of 5%, do LTCC Intermediate Algebra students get less than seven hours of sleep per night, on average?

The Type II error is not to reject that the mean number of hours of sleep LTCC students get per night is at least seven when, in fact, the mean number of hours

a. is more than seven hours.

b. is at most seven hours.

c. is at least seven hours.

d. is less than seven hours.

Answer

d

9-55 §9.3 source ↗

It is believed that Lake Tahoe Community College (LTCC) Intermediate Algebra students get less than seven hours of sleep per night, on average. A survey of 22 LTCC Intermediate Algebra students generated a mean of 7.24 hours with a standard deviation of 1.93 hours. At a level of significance of 5%, do LTCC Intermediate Algebra students get less than seven hours of sleep per night, on average? The distribution to be used for this test is X – ~ ________________

a. N(7.24, 1.93 22 )

b. N(7.24,1.93)

c. t22

d. t21

Answer

d

9-56 §9.4 source ↗

A particular brand of tires claims that its deluxe tire averages at least 50,000 miles before it needs to be replaced. From past studies of this tire, the standard deviation is known to be 8,000. A survey of owners of that tire design is conducted. From the 28 tires surveyed, the mean lifespan was 46,500 miles with a standard deviation of 9,800 miles. Using alpha = 0.05, is the data highly inconsistent with the claim?

Answer

a. H0: μ ≥ 50,000

b. Ha: μ < 50,000

c. Let X ¯ = the average lifespan of a brand of tires.

d. normal distribution

e. z = -2.315

f. p-value = 0.0103

g. Answers may vary.

h.

i. alpha: 0.05

ii. Decision: Reject the null hypothesis.

iii. Reason for decision: The p-value is less than 0.05.

iv. Conclusion: There is sufficient evidence to conclude that the mean lifespan of the tires is less than 50,000 miles.

i. (43,537, 49,463)

9-58 §9.4 source ↗

The cost of a daily newspaper varies from city to city. However, the variation among prices remains steady with a standard deviation of 20¢. A study was done to test the claim that the mean cost of a daily newspaper is $1.00. Twelve costs yield a mean cost of 95¢ with a standard deviation of 18¢. Do the data support the claim at the 1% level?

Answer

a. H0: μ = $1.00

b. Ha: μ ≠ $1.00

c. Let X ¯ = the average cost of a daily newspaper.

d. normal distribution

e. z = –0.866

f. p-value = 0.3865

g. Answers may vary.

h.

i. Alpha: 0.01

ii. Decision: Do not reject the null hypothesis.

iii. Reason for decision: The p-value is greater than 0.01.

iv. Conclusion: There is sufficient evidence to support the claim that the mean cost of daily papers is $1. The mean cost could be $1.

i. ($0.84, $1.06)

9-60 §9.4 source ↗

The mean number of sick days an employee takes per year is believed to be about ten. Members of a personnel department do not believe this figure. They randomly survey eight employees. The number of sick days they took for the past year are as follows: 12; 4; 15; 3; 11; 8; 6; 8. Let x = the number of sick days they took for the past year. Should the personnel team believe that the mean number is ten?

Answer

a. H0: μ = 10

b. Ha: μ ≠ 10

c. Let X ¯ the mean number of sick days an employee takes per year.

d. Student’s t-distribution

e. t = –1.13

f. p-value = 0.1299

g. Answers may vary.

h.

i. Alpha: 0.05

ii. Decision: Do not reject the null hypothesis.

iii. Reason for decision: The p-value is greater than 0.05.

iv. Conclusion: At the 5% significance level, there is insufficient evidence to conclude that the mean number of sick days is not ten.

i. (4.9443, 11.806)

9-62 §9.4 source ↗

Your statistics instructor claims that 60% of the students who take their Elementary Statistics class go through life feeling more enriched. For some reason that the instructor can't quite figure out, most people don't believe them. You decide to check this out on your own. You randomly survey 64 of their past Elementary Statistics students and find that 34 feel more enriched as a result of taking the class. Now, what do you think?

Answer

a. H0: p ≥ 0.6

b. Ha: p < 0.6

c. Let P′ = the proportion of students who feel more enriched as a result of taking Elementary Statistics.

d. normal for a single proportion

e. 1.13

f. p-value = 0.1299

g. Answers may vary.

h.

i. Alpha: 0.05

ii. Decision: Do not reject the null hypothesis.

iii. Reason for decision: The p-value is greater than 0.05.

iv. Conclusion: There is insufficient evidence to conclude that less than 60 percent of the students feel more enriched.

i. Confidence Interval: (0.409, 0.654)
The “plus-4s” confidence interval is (0.411, 0.648)

9-64 §9.4 source ↗

Refer to Exercise 9.63. Conduct a hypothesis test to see if your decision and conclusion would change if your belief were that the brown trout’s mean I.Q. is not four.

Answer

a. H0: μ = 4

b. Ha: μ ≠ 4

c. Let X ¯ the average I.Q. of a set of brown trout.

d. two-tailed Student's t-test

e. t = 1.95

f. p-value = 0.076

g. Answers may vary.

h.

i. Alpha: 0.05

ii. Decision: Reject the null hypothesis.

iii. Reason for decision: The p-value is greater than 0.05

iv. Conclusion: There is insufficient evidence to conclude that the average IQ of brown trout is not four.

i. (3.8865,5.9468)

9-66 §9.4 source ↗

A poll done for Newsweek found that 13% of Americans have seen or sensed the presence of an angel. A contingent doubts that the percent is really that high. It conducts its own survey. Out of 76 Americans surveyed, only two had seen or sensed the presence of an angel. As a result of the contingent’s survey, would you agree with the Newsweek poll? In complete sentences, also give three reasons why the two polls might give different results.

Answer

a. H0: p ≥ 0.13

b. Ha: p < 0.13

c. Let P′ = the proportion of Americans who have seen or sensed angels

d. normal for a single proportion

e. –2.688

f. p-value = 0.0036

g. Answers may vary.

h.

i. alpha: 0.05

ii. Decision: Reject the null hypothesis.

iii. Reason for decision: The p-value is less than 0.05.

iv. Conclusion: There is sufficient evidence to conclude that the percentage of Americans who have seen or sensed an angel is less than 13%.

i. (0, 0.0623).
The“plus-4s” confidence interval is (0.0022, 0.0978)

9-69 §9.4 source ↗

According to New York City's Community Health Survey, the most recent adult smoking rate is 12%. Suppose that a survey is conducted to determine this year’s rate. Nine out of 70 randomly chosen N.Y. City residents reply that they smoke. Conduct a hypothesis test to determine if the rate is still 12% or if it has decreased.

Answer

a. H0: p = 0.12

b. Ha: p < 0.12

c. Let P'= the proportion of NYC residents that smoke.

d. Normal for a single proportion

e. 0.2207

f. p-value = 0.5873

g. Answers may vary

h.

i. alpha 0.05

ii. Decision: Do not reject the null hypothesis.

iii. Reason for Decision: The p-value is greater than 0.05.

iv. At the 5% significance level, there is insufficient evidence to conclude that the proportion of NYC residents who smoke is less than 0.14.

i. Confidence interval: Confidence Interval: (0.0502, 0.2070): The “plus-4s” confidence interval (see Confidence Intervals) is (0.0676, 0.2297).

9-71 §9.4 source ↗

Registered nurses earned an average annual salary of $69,110. For that same year, a survey was conducted of 41 California registered nurses to determine if the annual salary is higher than $69,110 for California nurses. The sample average was $71,121 with a sample standard deviation of $7,489. Conduct a hypothesis test.

Answer

a. H0: μ = 69,110

b. Ha: μ > 69,110

c. Let X ¯ = the mean salary in dollars for California registered nurses.

d. Student's t-distribution

e. t = 1.719

f. p-value: 0.0466

g. Answers may vary.

h.

i. Alpha: 0.05

ii. Decision: Reject the null hypothesis.

iii. Reason for decision: The p-value is less than 0.05.

iv. Conclusion: At the 5% significance level, there is sufficient evidence to conclude that the mean salary of California registered nurses exceeds $69,110.

i. ($68,757, $73,485)

9-73 §9.4 source ↗

Over the past few decades, public health officials have examined the link between weight concerns and teen girls' smoking. Researchers surveyed a group of 273 randomly selected teen girls living in Massachusetts (between 12 and 15 years old). After four years the girls were surveyed again. Sixty-three said they smoked to stay thin. Is there good evidence that more than 30% of the teen girls smoke to stay thin?
After conducting the test, your decision and conclusion are

a. Reject H0: There is sufficient evidence to conclude that more than 30% of teen girls smoke to stay thin.

b. Do not reject H0: There is not sufficient evidence to conclude that less than 30% of teen girls smoke to stay thin.

c. Do not reject H0: There is not sufficient evidence to conclude that more than 30% of teen girls smoke to stay thin.

d. Reject H0: There is sufficient evidence to conclude that less than 30% of teen girls smoke to stay thin.

Answer

c

9-75 §9.4 source ↗

Previously, an organization reported that teenagers spent 4.5 hours per week, on average, on the phone. The organization thinks that, currently, the mean is higher. Fifteen randomly chosen teenagers were asked how many hours per week they spend on the phone. The sample mean was 4.75 hours with a sample standard deviation of 2.0. Conduct a hypothesis test.

At a significance level of a = 0.05, what is the correct conclusion?

a. There is enough evidence to conclude that the mean number of hours is more than 4.75

b. There is enough evidence to conclude that the mean number of hours is more than 4.5

c. There is not enough evidence to conclude that the mean number of hours is more than 4.5

d. There is not enough evidence to conclude that the mean number of hours is more than 4.75

Answer

c

9-77 §9.4 source ↗

Instructions: For the following ten exercises,
Hypothesis testing: For the following ten exercises, answer each question.

A recent survey in the N.Y. Times Almanac indicated that 48.8% of families own stock. A broker wanted to determine if this survey could be valid. They surveyed a random sample of 250 families and found that 142 owned some type of stock. At the 0.05 significance level, can the survey be considered to be accurate?

Answer

a. H0: p = 0.488 Ha: p ≠ 0.488

b. p-value = 0.0114

c. alpha = 0.05

d. Reject the null hypothesis.

e. There is enough evidence to conclude that the percent of families owning stocks is not 48.8%.

f. The survey does not appear to be accurate.

9-79 §9.4 source ↗

Instructions: For the following ten exercises,
Hypothesis testing: For the following ten exercises, answer each question.

The US Department of Energy reported that 51.7% of homes were heated by natural gas. A random sample of 221 homes in Kentucky found that 115 were heated by natural gas. Does the evidence support the claim for Kentucky at the α = 0.05 level in Kentucky? Are the results applicable across the country? Why?

Answer

a. H0: p = 0.517 Ha: p ≠ 0.517

b. p-value = 0.9203.

c. alpha = 0.05.

d. Do not reject the null hypothesis.

e. At the 5% significance level, there is not enough evidence to conclude that the proportion of homes in Kentucky that are heated by natural gas is different from the proportion of homes heated by natural gas across the country.

f. However, we cannot generalize this result to the entire nation. First, the sample’s population is only the state of Kentucky. Second, it is reasonable to assume that homes in the extreme north and south will have extreme high usage and low usage, respectively. We would need to expand our sample base to include these possibilities if we wanted to generalize this claim to the entire nation.

9-81 §9.4 source ↗

Instructions: For the following ten exercises,
Hypothesis testing: For the following ten exercises, answer each question.

The Weather Underground reported that the mean amount of summer rainfall for the northeastern US is at least 11.52 inches. Ten cities in the northeast are randomly selected and the mean rainfall amount is calculated to be 7.42 inches with a standard deviation of 1.3 inches. At the α = 0.05 level, can it be concluded that the mean rainfall was below the reported average? What if α = 0.01? Assume the amount of summer rainfall follows a normal distribution.

Answer

a. H0: µ ≥ 11.52 Ha: µ < 11.52

b. p-value = 0.000002 which is almost 0.

c. alpha = 0.05.

d. Reject the null hypothesis.

e. At the 5% significance level, there is enough evidence to conclude that the mean amount of summer rain in the northeaster US is less than 11.52 inches, on average.

f. We would make the same conclusion if alpha was 1% because the p-value is almost 0.

9-83 §9.4 source ↗

Instructions: For the following ten exercises,
Hypothesis testing: For the following ten exercises, answer each question.

A report by the Gallup Poll found that a woman visits her doctor, on average, at most 5.8 times each year. A random sample of 20 women results in these yearly visit totals

3; 2; 1; 3; 7; 2; 9; 4; 6; 6; 8; 0; 5; 6; 4; 2; 1; 3; 4; 1
At the α = 0.05 level can it be concluded that the sample mean is higher than 5.8 visits per year?

Answer

a. H0: µ ≤ 5.8 Ha: µ > 5.8

b. p-value = 0.9987

c. alpha = 0.05

d. Do not reject the null hypothesis.

e. At the 5% level of significance, there is not enough evidence to conclude that a woman visits her doctor, on average, more than 5.8 times a year.

9-85 §9.4 source ↗

Instructions: For the following ten exercises,
Hypothesis testing: For the following ten exercises, answer each question.

The student academic group on a college campus claims that first-year students study at least 2.5 hours per day, on average. One Introduction to Statistics class was skeptical. The class took a random sample of 30 first-year students and found a mean study time of 137 minutes with a standard deviation of 45 minutes. At α = 0.01 level, is the student academic group’s claim correct?

Answer

a. H0: µ ≥ 150 Ha: µ < 150

b. p-value = 0.0622

c. alpha = 0.01

d. Do not reject the null hypothesis.

e. At the 1% significance level, there is not enough evidence to conclude that first-year students study less than 2.5 hours per day, on average.

f. The student academic group’s claim appears to be correct.

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Problems and answers are adapted from Introductory Business Statistics 2e by Alexander Holmes, Barbara Illowsky and Susan Dean, OpenStax, and are used under the CC BY-NC-SA 4.0 licence. Access for free at https://openstax.org/books/introductory-business-statistics-2e/pages/1-introduction. Illustrations: Copyright Rice University, OpenStax, under CC BY-NC-SA 4.0 license. This adaptation is released under the same licence, is non-commercial, and is neither affiliated with nor endorsed by OpenStax or Rice University.