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Chapter 6: The Macroeconomic Perspective

10 problems · 1 figure

6-1 §6.1 source ↗

Country A has export sales of $20 billion, government purchases of $1,000 billion, business investment is $50 billion, imports are $40 billion, and consumption spending is $2,000 billion. What is the dollar value of GDP?

Answer

GDP is C + I + G + (X – M). GDP = $2,000 billion + $50 billion + $1,000 billion + ($20 billion – $40 billion) = $3,030

6-2 §6.1 source ↗

Which of the following are included in GDP, and which are not?

a. The cost of hospital stays

b. The rise in life expectancy over time

c. Child care provided by a licensed day care center

d. Child care provided by a grandmother

e. A used car sale

f. A new car sale

g. The greater variety of cheese available in supermarkets

h. The iron that goes into the steel that goes into a refrigerator bought by a consumer.

Answer

a. Hospital stays are part of GDP.

b. Changes in life expectancy are not market transactions and not part of GDP.

c. Child care that is paid for is part of GDP.

d. If Grandma gets paid and reports this as income, it is part of GDP, otherwise not.

e. A used car is not produced this year, so it is not part of GDP.

f. A new car is part of GDP.

g. Variety does not count in GDP, where the cheese could all be cheddar.

h. The iron is not counted because it is an intermediate good.

6-3 §6.2 source ↗

Using data from Table 6.5 how much of the nominal GDP growth from 1980 to 1990 was real GDP and how much was inflation?
Table 6.5 U.S. Nominal GDP and the GDP Deflator in the book ↗
Year Nominal GDP (billions of dollars) GDP Deflator (2012 = 100)
1960 542.4 16.6
1965 742.3 17.8
1970 1,073.3 21.7
1975 1,684.9 29.8
1980 2,857.3 42.2
1985 4,339.0 54.5
1990 5,963.1 63.6
1995 7,639.7 71.8
2000 10,251.0 78.0
2005 13,039.2 87.5
2010 15,049.0 96.2
2015 18,206.0 104.7
2020 20,893.7 113.6
(Source: https://apps.bea.gov/itable/index.cfm, Table 1.1.5 and Table 1.1.9)

Answer

From 1980 to 1990, real GDP grew by (8,225.0 – 5,926.5) / (5,926.5) = 39%. Over the same period, prices increased by (72.7 – 48.3) / (48.3/100) = 51%. So about 57% of the growth 51 / (51 + 39) was inflation, and the remainder: 39 / (51 + 39) = 43% was growth in real GDP.

6-4 §6.3 source ↗

Without looking at Table 6.7, return to Figure 6.10. If we define a recession as a significant decline in national output, can you identify any post-1960 recessions in addition to the 2008-2009 recession? (This requires a judgment call.)
Table 6.7 U.S. Business Cycles since 1900 in the book ↗
Trough Peak Months of Contraction Months of Expansion
December 1900 September 1902 18 21
August 1904 May 1907 23 33
June 1908 January 1910 13 19
January 1912 January 1913 24 12
December 1914 August 1918 23 44
March 1919 January 1920 7 10
July 1921 May 1923 18 22
July 1924 October 1926 14 27
November 1927 August 1929 23 21
March 1933 May 1937 43 50
June 1938 February 1945 13 80
October 1945 November 1948 8 37
October 1949 July 1953 11 45
May 1954 August 1957 10 39
April 1958 April 1960 8 24
February 1961 December 1969 10 106
November 1970 November 1973 11 36
March 1975 January 1980 16 58
July 1980 July 1981 6 12
November 1982 July 1990 16 92
March 1991 March 2001 8 120
November 2001 December 2007 8 73
January 2009 February 2020 2 128
April 2020 TBD TBD TBD
(Source: http://www.nber.org/cycles/main.html)
Figure 6.10 U.S. GDP, 1930–2020 in the book ↗
Real GDP in the United States in 2020 (in 2012 dollars) was about $18.4 trillion. After adjusting to remove the effects of inflation, this represents a roughly 20-fold increase in the economy’s production of goods and services since 1930. (Source: bea.gov)

Answer

Two other major recessions are visible in the figure as slight dips: those of 1973–1975, and 1981–1982. Two other recessions appear in the figure as a flattening of the path of real GDP. These were in 1990–1991 and 2001.

6-5 §6.3 source ↗

According to Table 6.7, how often have recessions occurred since the end of World War II (1945)?
Table 6.7 U.S. Business Cycles since 1900 in the book ↗
Trough Peak Months of Contraction Months of Expansion
December 1900 September 1902 18 21
August 1904 May 1907 23 33
June 1908 January 1910 13 19
January 1912 January 1913 24 12
December 1914 August 1918 23 44
March 1919 January 1920 7 10
July 1921 May 1923 18 22
July 1924 October 1926 14 27
November 1927 August 1929 23 21
March 1933 May 1937 43 50
June 1938 February 1945 13 80
October 1945 November 1948 8 37
October 1949 July 1953 11 45
May 1954 August 1957 10 39
April 1958 April 1960 8 24
February 1961 December 1969 10 106
November 1970 November 1973 11 36
March 1975 January 1980 16 58
July 1980 July 1981 6 12
November 1982 July 1990 16 92
March 1991 March 2001 8 120
November 2001 December 2007 8 73
January 2009 February 2020 2 128
April 2020 TBD TBD TBD
(Source: http://www.nber.org/cycles/main.html)

Answer

11 recessions in approximately 70 years averages about one recession every six years.

6-6 §6.3 source ↗

According to Table 6.7, how long has the average recession lasted since the end of World War II?
Table 6.7 U.S. Business Cycles since 1900 in the book ↗
Trough Peak Months of Contraction Months of Expansion
December 1900 September 1902 18 21
August 1904 May 1907 23 33
June 1908 January 1910 13 19
January 1912 January 1913 24 12
December 1914 August 1918 23 44
March 1919 January 1920 7 10
July 1921 May 1923 18 22
July 1924 October 1926 14 27
November 1927 August 1929 23 21
March 1933 May 1937 43 50
June 1938 February 1945 13 80
October 1945 November 1948 8 37
October 1949 July 1953 11 45
May 1954 August 1957 10 39
April 1958 April 1960 8 24
February 1961 December 1969 10 106
November 1970 November 1973 11 36
March 1975 January 1980 16 58
July 1980 July 1981 6 12
November 1982 July 1990 16 92
March 1991 March 2001 8 120
November 2001 December 2007 8 73
January 2009 February 2020 2 128
April 2020 TBD TBD TBD
(Source: http://www.nber.org/cycles/main.html)

Answer

The table lists the “Months of Contraction” for each recession. Averaging these figures for the post-WWII recessions gives an average duration of 11 months, or slightly less than a year.

6-7 §6.3 source ↗

According to Table 6.7, how long has the average expansion lasted since the end of World War II?
Table 6.7 U.S. Business Cycles since 1900 in the book ↗
Trough Peak Months of Contraction Months of Expansion
December 1900 September 1902 18 21
August 1904 May 1907 23 33
June 1908 January 1910 13 19
January 1912 January 1913 24 12
December 1914 August 1918 23 44
March 1919 January 1920 7 10
July 1921 May 1923 18 22
July 1924 October 1926 14 27
November 1927 August 1929 23 21
March 1933 May 1937 43 50
June 1938 February 1945 13 80
October 1945 November 1948 8 37
October 1949 July 1953 11 45
May 1954 August 1957 10 39
April 1958 April 1960 8 24
February 1961 December 1969 10 106
November 1970 November 1973 11 36
March 1975 January 1980 16 58
July 1980 July 1981 6 12
November 1982 July 1990 16 92
March 1991 March 2001 8 120
November 2001 December 2007 8 73
January 2009 February 2020 2 128
April 2020 TBD TBD TBD
(Source: http://www.nber.org/cycles/main.html)

Answer

The table lists the “Months of Expansion.” Averaging these figures for the post-WWII expansions gives an average expansion of 60.5 months, or more than five years.

6-8 §6.4 source ↗

Is it possible for GDP to rise while at the same time per capita GDP is falling? Is it possible for GDP to fall while per capita GDP is rising?

Answer

Yes. The answer to both questions depends on whether GDP is growing faster or slower than population. If population grows faster than GDP, GDP increases, while GDP per capita decreases. If GDP falls, but population falls faster, then GDP decreases, while GDP per capita increases.

6-9 §6.4 source ↗

The Central African Republic has a GDP of 1,107,689 million CFA francs and a population of 4.862 million. The exchange rate is 284.681CFA francs per dollar. Calculate the GDP per capita of Central African Republic.

Answer

Start with Central African Republic’s GDP measured in francs. Divide it by the exchange rate to convert to U.S. dollars, and then divide by population to obtain the per capita figure. That is, 1,107,689 million francs / 284.681 francs per dollar / 4.862 million people = $800.28 GDP per capita.

6-10 §6.5 source ↗

Explain briefly whether each of the following would cause GDP to overstate or understate the degree of change in the broad standard of living.

a. The environment becomes dirtier

b. The crime rate declines

c. A greater variety of goods become available to consumers

d. Infant mortality declines

Answer

a. A dirtier environment would reduce the broad standard of living, but not be counted in GDP, so a rise in GDP would overstate the standard of living.

b. A lower crime rate would raise the broad standard of living, but not be counted directly in GDP, and so a rise in GDP would understate the standard of living.

c. A greater variety of goods would raise the broad standard of living, but not be counted directly in GDP, and so a rise in GDP would understate the rise in the standard of living.

d. A decline in infant mortality would raise the broad standard of living, but not be counted directly in GDP, and so a rise in GDP would understate the rise in the standard of living.

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Problems and answers are adapted from Principles of Macroeconomics 3e by Steven A. Greenlaw, David Shapiro and Daniel MacDonald, OpenStax, and are used under the CC BY-NC-SA 4.0 licence. Access for free at https://openstax.org/books/principles-macroeconomics-3e/pages/1-introduction. Illustrations: Copyright Rice University, OpenStax, under CC BY-NC-SA 4.0 license. This adaptation is released under the same licence, is non-commercial, and is neither affiliated with nor endorsed by OpenStax or Rice University.