Every problem in the chapter beside the book’s answer, a chapter at a time as you scroll.

Chapter 7: Probability

153 problems · 1 figure

Your Turn 7.1 §7.1 source ↗

Joe’s Pizza Shack offers pizzas with 4 different types of crust and a choice of 15 toppings. How many different one-topping pizzas can be made at Joe’s?

Answer

The Multiplication Rule of Counting says that if there are n ways to accomplish one task and m ways to accomplish a second task, then there are n   ×   m ways to accomplish both tasks. You can tack on additional tasks by multiplying the number of ways to accomplish those tasks to your previous product.

4   ×   15   =   60

4 × 15 = 60

Your Turn 7.2 §7.1 source ↗

The menu for Joe’s Pizza Shack offers pizzas with 4 different types of crust and a choice of 15 toppings. Suppose that Joe’s also offers a choice of 3 sauces and 2 cheese blends. How many different one-topping pizzas can be made at Joe’s now?

Answer

The Multiplication Rule of Counting says that if there are n ways to accomplish one task and m ways to accomplish a second task, then there are n   ×   m ways to accomplish both tasks. You can tack on additional tasks by multiplying the number of ways to accomplish those tasks to your previous product.

4   ×   15   ×   3   ×   2 =   360

4 × 15 × 3 × 2 = 360

Your Turn 7.3 §7.1 source ↗

At a certain college, ID cards are issued to all students, faculty, and staff. These cards have unique ID codes for each person: a letter to indicate the person’s status (S for students, F for faculty, and E for staff), followed by 5 digits and finally 3 letters (these letters can be anything). How many different ID codes can be created using this scheme?

Answer

The Multiplication Rule of Counting says that if there are n ways to accomplish one task and m ways to accomplish a second task, then there are n   ×   m ways to accomplish both tasks. You can tack on additional tasks by multiplying the number of ways to accomplish those tasks to your previous product.

You have 3 choices for letters, 10 choices each time you choose a digit, and 26 choices for each time you choose a letter.

3 ×   10   ×   10   ×   10   ×   10   ×   10   ×   26   ×   26   ×   26   =   5 , 272 , 800 , 000

3 × 10 × 10 × 10 × 10 × 10 × 26 × 26 × 26 = 5,272,800,000

Check Your Understanding 7.1.1 §7.1 source ↗

A website that lets you build custom belts has 18 different buckles and 30 different straps. How many different belts can be made using those materials?

Answer

The Multiplication Rule of Counting says that if there are n ways to accomplish one task and m ways to accomplish a second task, then there are n   ×   m ways to accomplish both tasks. You can tack on additional tasks by multiplying the number of ways to accomplish those tasks to your previous product.

18   ×   30   =   540

540

Check Your Understanding 7.1.2 §7.1 source ↗

A chain of chicken restaurants offers a combo that includes your choice of 3 or 5 chicken strips, along with your choice of side dish. If there are 7 side dishes, how many different ways are there to build this combo meal?

Answer

The Multiplication Rule of Counting says that if there are n ways to accomplish one task and m ways to accomplish a second task, then there are n   ×   m ways to accomplish both tasks. You can tack on additional tasks by multiplying the number of ways to accomplish those tasks to your previous product.

You have two choices of how many chicken strips you get (three or five).

You have 7 choices of side dishes.

2   ×   7   =   14

14

Check Your Understanding 7.1.3 §7.1 source ↗

When you flip a coin, there are 2 possible outcomes: heads and tails. Let’s say you flip a coin 10 times, and after each you write down the result of the flip (H for heads, T for tails). How many different results (strings of 10 characters, where each is either an H or a T) are possible?

Answer

The Multiplication Rule of Counting says that if there are n ways to accomplish one task and m ways to accomplish a second task, then there are n   ×   m ways to accomplish both tasks. You can tack on additional tasks by multiplying the number of ways to accomplish those tasks to your previous product.

Each time you flip, you have two choices.

You flip ten times, so you have two choices each flip.

2   ×   2   ×   2   × 2   × 2   × 2   × 2   × 2   × 2   × 2   =   1 , 024

1,024

Check Your Understanding 7.1.4 §7.1 source ↗

A T-shirt company allows shoppers to customize their shirts in several ways. There are 5 sizes, 8 shirt colors, 4 designs, and 5 design colors. How many different shirts can be made?

Answer

The Multiplication Rule of Counting says that if there are n ways to accomplish one task and m ways to accomplish a second task, then there are n   ×   m ways to accomplish both tasks. You can tack on additional tasks by multiplying the number of ways to accomplish those tasks to your previous product.

5   ×   8   ×   4   ×   5   =   800

800

Check Your Understanding 7.1.5 §7.1 source ↗

Josephine is trying to build her class schedule for next semester. Because of her work schedule, she has only 4 class periods that can work for her, and she must take 4 classes. If there are 15 classes that she could take during the first period, 18 during the second, 12 during the third, and 8 during the fourth, how many different schedules could Josephine build?

Answer

The Multiplication Rule of Counting says that if there are n ways to accomplish one task and m ways to accomplish a second task, then there are n   ×   m ways to accomplish both tasks. You can tack on additional tasks by multiplying the number of ways to accomplish those tasks to your previous product.

Multiply the choices during each class period.

15   ×   18   ×   12   ×   8   =   25 , 920

25,920

Your Turn 7.4 §7.2 source ↗

You have a hand of 5 cards (that happen to create what’s called a royal flush in the game of poker): 10 ♠ , J ♠ , Q ♠ , K ♠ , and A ♠ . Into how many different orders can you put those cards?

Answer

The Multiplication Rule of Counting says that if there are n ways to accomplish one task and m ways to accomplish a second task, then there are n   ×   m ways to accomplish both tasks. You can tack on additional tasks by multiplying the number of ways to accomplish those tasks to your previous product.

Choosing… You choose a card for the first position You choose a card for the second position You choose a card for the third position You choose a card for the second position You choose a card for the last position
Number of Choices You have 5 choices You have 4 cards left from which to choose You have 3 cards left from which to choose You have 2 cards left from which to choose You have 1 card left from which to choose

The number of ways you can make your choices is 5   ×   4   ×   3   ×   2   ×   1   =   120 .

120

Your Turn 7.5 §7.2 source ↗

Compute the following:

6 !

Answer

A factorial for any positive whole number n (denoted n!) is the product of every whole number less than or equal to n. We define 0! to be equal to one.

6 !   =   6   ×   5   ×   4   ×   3   ×   2   ×   1   =   720

720

Your Turn 7.5 (b) §7.2 source ↗

Compute the following:

12 ! 10 !

Answer

A factorial for any positive whole number n (denoted n!) is the product of every whole number less than or equal to n. We define 0! to be equal to one.

12 ! 10 ! = 12 × 11 × 10 × 9 × 8 × 7 × 6 × 5 × 4 × 3 × 2 × 1 10 × 9 × 8 × 7 × 6 × 5 × 4 × 3 × 2 × 1 = 12 × 11 × 10 × 9 × 8 × 7 × 6 × 5 × 4 × 3 × 2 × 1 10 × 9 × 8 × 7 × 6 × 5 × 4 × 3 × 2 × 1 = 132

Instead of writing out all the factors, you could have written this expression an easier way.

12 ! 10 ! = 12 × 11 × 10 ! 10 ! = 12 × 11 × 10 ! 10 ! = 132

132

Your Turn 7.5 (c) §7.2 source ↗

Compute the following:

8 ! 4 ! 4 !

Answer

A factorial for any positive whole number n (denoted n!) is the product of every whole number less than or equal to n. We define 0! to be equal to one.

8 ! 4 ! 4 ! = 8 × 7 × 6 × 5 × 4 ! 4 ! × 4 × 3 × 2 × 1 = 1 , 680 24 = 70

70

Your Turn 7.6 §7.2 source ↗

Find the following numbers:

The number of permutations of 6 objects taken 2 at a time

Answer

The permutation of n objects taken r at a time is n P r = n ! ( n − r ) ! where 1 ≤ r ≤ n.

6 P 2 = n ! ( n − r ) ! = 6 ! ( 6 − 2 ) ! = 6 ! 4 ! = 6 × 5 × 4 ! 4 ! = 30

30

Your Turn 7.6 (b) §7.2 source ↗

Find the following numbers:

The number of permutations of 14 objects taken 4 at a time

Answer

24,024

The permutation of n objects taken r at a time is n P r = n ! ( n − r ) ! where 1 ≤ r ≤ n.

14 P 4 = n ! ( n − r ) ! = 14 ! ( 14 − 4 ) ! = 14 ! 10 ! = 14 × 13 × 12 × 11 × 10 ! 10 ! = 24 , 024

Your Turn 7.6 (c) §7.2 source ↗

Find the following numbers:

The number of permutations of 19 objects taken 3 at a time

Answer

5,814

The permutation of n objects taken r at a time is n P r = n ! ( n − r ) ! where 1 ≤ r ≤ n.

19 P 3 = n ! ( n − r ) ! = 19 ! ( 19 − 3 ) ! = 19 ! 16 ! = 19 × 18 × 17 × 16 ! 16 ! = 5 , 814

Your Turn 7.7 §7.2 source ↗

One of the big draws at this year’s state fair is the pig race. There are 15 entrants, and prizes are given to the top three finishers. How many different combinations of top-three finishes could there be?

Answer

15 P 3 = 2,730

The permutation of n objects taken r at a time is n P r = n ! ( n − r ) ! where 1 ≤ r ≤ n.

15 P 3 = 15 ! ( 15 − 3 ) ! = 15 ! 12 ! = 15 × 14 × 13 × 12 ! 12 ! = 2 , 730

There are 2,730 ways to pick the top three finishers.

Check Your Understanding 7.2.6 §7.2 source ↗

Compute 5!.

Answer

A factorial for any positive whole number n (denoted n!) is the product of every whole number less than or equal to n. We define 0! to be equal to one.

5 !   =   5   ×   4   ×   3   ×   2   ×   1   =   120

120

Check Your Understanding 7.2.7 §7.2 source ↗

Compute 10 ! 7 ! 3 ! .

Answer

A factorial for any positive whole number n (denoted n!) is the product of every whole number less than or equal to n. We define 0! to be equal to one.

10 ! 7 ! 3 ! = 10 × 9 × 8 × 7 ! 7 ! × 3 × 2 × 1 = 720 6 = 120

120

Check Your Understanding 7.2.8 §7.2 source ↗

Compute 12 P 3 .

Answer

The permutation of n objects taken r at a time is n P r = n ! ( n − r ) ! where 1 ≤ r ≤ n.

12 P 3 = n ! ( n − r ) ! = 12 ! ( 12 − 3 ) ! = 12 ! 9 ! = 12 × 11 × 10 × 9 ! 9 ! = 1 , 320

1,320

Check Your Understanding 7.2.9 §7.2 source ↗

Compute 8 P 4 .

Answer

1,680

The permutation of n objects taken r at a time is n P r = n ! ( n − r ) ! where 1 ≤ r ≤ n.

8 P 4 = 8 ! ( 8 − 4 ) ! = 8 ! 4 ! = 8 × 7 × 6 × 5 × 4 ! 4 ! = 1 , 680

Check Your Understanding 7.2.10 §7.2 source ↗

The standard American edition of the board game Monopoly has a deck of 15 orange Chance cards. In how many different ways could the first 4 Chance cards drawn in a game appear?

Answer

The permutation of n objects taken r at a time is n P r = n ! ( n − r ) ! where 1 ≤ r ≤ n.

15 P 4 = n ! ( n − r ) ! = 15 ! ( 15 − 4 ) ! = 15 ! 11 ! = 15 × 14 × 13 × 12 × 11 ! 11 ! = 32 , 760

15 P 4 = 32,760

Your Turn 7.8 §7.3 source ↗

Decide whether the following represent permutations or combinations:

On Halloween, you give each kid who comes to your door 3 pieces of candy, taken randomly from a candy dish.

Answer

Every kid gets a piece of candy. It does not matter who gets their candy first. This is a combination. combination

Your Turn 7.8 (b) §7.3 source ↗

Decide whether the following represent permutations or combinations:

Your class is going on a field trip, but there are too many people for one vehicle. Your instructor chooses half the class to take the first vehicle.

Answer

It does not matter in what order the instructor names the students to go in the first vehicle. They are all going in the same vehicle, no matter how the names are called. This is a combination. combination

Your Turn 7.9 §7.3 source ↗

Compute the following:

6 C 4

Answer

The number of combinations of n objects taken r at a time is n C r = n ! r ! ( n − r ) ! .

The answer will always be an integer, so check your math if you get a fraction.

6 C 4 = n ! r ! ( n − r ) ! = 6 ! 4 ! ( 6 − 4 ) ! = 6 ! 4 ! 2 ! = 6 × 5 × 4 ! 4 ! × 2 × 1 = 30 2 = 15

15

Your Turn 7.9 (b) §7.3 source ↗

Compute the following:

10 C 8

Answer

The number of combinations of n objects taken r at a time is n C r = n ! r ! ( n − r ) ! .

The answer will always be an integer, so check your math if you get a fraction.

10 C 8 = n ! r ! ( n − r ) ! = 10 ! 8 ! ( 10 − 8 ) ! = 10 ! 8 ! 2 ! = 10 × 9 × 8 ! 8 ! × 2 × 1 = 90 2 = 45

45

Your Turn 7.9 (c) §7.3 source ↗

Compute the following:

14 C 5

Answer

The number of combinations of n objects taken r at a time is n C r = n ! r ! ( n − r ) ! .

The answer will always be an integer, so check your math if you get a fraction.

14 C 5 = n ! r ! ( n − r ) ! = 14 ! 5 ! ( 14 − 5 ) ! = 14 ! 5 ! 9 ! = 14 × 13 × 12 × 11 × 10 × 9 ! 5 × 4 × 3 × 2 × 1 × 9 ! = 240 , 240 120 = 2 , 002

2,002

Your Turn 7.10 §7.3 source ↗

At a charity event with 58 people in attendance, 3 raffle winners are chosen. All receive the same prize, so order doesn’t matter. How many different groups of 3 winners can be chosen?

Answer

Since they all receive the same prize, it does not matter what order they call the names. This is a combination, choosing 3 names from 58.

58 C 3 = n ! r ! ( n − r ) ! = 58 ! 3 ! ( 58 − 3 ) ! = 58 ! 3 ! 55 ! = 58 × 57 × 56 × 55 ! 3 × 2 × 1 × 55 ! = 185 , 136 6 = 30 , 856

30,856

Your Turn 7.10 (b) §7.3 source ↗

A sorority with 42 members needs to choose a committee with 4 members, each with equal responsibility. How many committees are possible?

Answer

Since they all have equal responsibility, it does not matter in which order you name the members. This is a combination, choosing 4 members from 42 members.

42 C 4 = n ! r ! ( n − r ) ! = 42 ! 4 ! ( 42 − 4 ) ! = 42 ! 4 ! 38 ! = 42 × 41 × 40 × 39 × 38 ! 4 × 3 × 2 × 1 × 38 ! = 2 , 686 , 320 24 = 111 , 930

111,930

Your Turn 7.11 §7.3 source ↗

How many ways are there to choose a hand of 6 cards from a standard deck with the constraint that 3 are ♠ , 2 are ♡ , and 1 is ♣ ?

Answer

It does not matter in which order the cards are dealt to you. For each requirement, it is a combination. There are 13 cards in each suit.

Requirement 3 spades 2 hearts 1 club
Formula 13C3 13C2 13C1

Then, use the Multiplication Rule of Counting. The Multiplication Rule of Counting says that if there are n ways to accomplish one task and m ways to accomplish a second task, then there are n   ×   m ways to accomplish both tasks. You can tack on additional tasks by multiplying the number of ways to accomplish those tasks to your previous product.

The number of ways to have the required hand is 13 C 3   ×   13 C 2   ×   13 C 1 .

Evaluate each combination separately.

13 C 3 = n ! r ! ( n − r ) ! = 13 ! 3 ! ( 13 − 3 ) ! = 13 ! 3 ! 10 ! = 13 × 12 × 11 × 10 ! 3 × 2 × 1 × 10 ! = 1 , 716 6 = 286

13 C 2 = n ! r ! ( n − r ) ! = 13 ! 2 ! ( 13 − 2 ) ! = 13 ! 2 ! 11 ! = 13 × 12 11 ! 2 × 1 × 11 ! = 156 2 = 78

13 C 1 = n ! r ! ( n − r ) ! = 13 ! 1 ! ( 13 − 1 ) ! = 13 ! 1 ! 12 ! = 13 12 ! 1 × 12 ! = 13

Now you can evaluate 13 C 3   ×   13 C 2   ×   13 C 1   =   286   ×   78   ×   13   =   290 , 004 .

290,004

Check Your Understanding 7.3.11 §7.3 source ↗

Suppose you want to count the number of ways that you can arrange the apps on the home screen on your phone. Should you use permutations or combinations?

Answer

Anytime you see the word “arrange,” you know that order matters. This is a permutation. permutations

Check Your Understanding 7.3.12 §7.3 source ↗

Your little brother is packing up for a family vacation, but there’s only room for 3 of his toys. If you want to know how many possible groups of toys he can bring, should you use permutations or combinations?

Answer

The only thing that matters is which toys go on the trip. This is a combination. combinations

Check Your Understanding 7.3.13 §7.3 source ↗

Compute 12 C 10 .

Answer

The number of combinations of n objects taken r at a time is n C r = n ! r ! ( n − r ) ! .

The answer will always be an integer, so check your math if you get a fraction.

12 C 10 = n ! r ! ( n − r ) ! = 12 ! 10 ! ( 12 − 10 ) ! = 12 ! 10 ! 2 ! = 12 × 11 × 10 ! 10 ! × 2 × 1 = 132 2 = 66

66

Check Your Understanding 7.3.14 §7.3 source ↗

Compute 16 C 3 .

Answer

The number of combinations of n objects taken r at a time is n C r = n ! r ! ( n − r ) ! .

The answer will always be an integer, so check your math if you get a fraction.

16 C 3 = n ! r ! ( n − r ) ! = 16 ! 3 ! ( 16 − 3 ) ! = 13 ! 3 ! 13 ! = 16 × 15 × 14 × 13 ! 3 × 2 × 1 × 13 ! = 3 , 360 6 = 560

560

Check Your Understanding 7.3.15 §7.3 source ↗

You’re planning a road trip with some friends. Though you have 6 friends you’d consider bringing along, you only have room for 3 other people in the car. How many different possibilities are there for your road trip squad?

Answer

This is a combination. It doesn’t matter which order you choose the 3 friends out of 6 friends.

The number of combinations of n objects taken r at a time is n C r = n ! r ! ( n − r ) ! .

6 C 3 = n ! r ! ( n − r ) ! = 6 ! 3 ! ( 6 − 3 ) ! = 6 ! 3 ! 3 ! = 6 × 5 × 4 × 3 ! 3 × 2 × 1 × 3 ! = 120 6 = 20

There are 20 ways to pick three other people.

20

Check Your Understanding 7.3.16 §7.3 source ↗

You’re packing for a trip, for which you need 3 shirts and 3 skirts. If you have 8 shirts and 5 skirts that would work for the trip, how many different ways are there to pack for the trip?

Answer

It does not matter in which order you pack the shirts and skirts. They will all be with you on the trip.

Choices 3 shirts from 8 shirts 3 skirts from 5 skirts
Formula 8C3 5C3

Then, use the Multiplication Rule of Counting. The Multiplication Rule of Counting says that if there are n ways to accomplish one task and m ways to accomplish a second task, then there are n   ×   m ways to accomplish both tasks. You can tack on additional tasks by multiplying the number of ways to accomplish those tasks to your previous product.

The number of ways to have the required hand is 8 C 3   ×   6 C 3 .

Evaluate each combination separately.

8 C 3 = n ! r ! ( n − r ) ! = 8 ! 3 ! ( 8 − 5 ) ! = 8 ! 3 ! 5 ! = 8 × 7 × 6 × 5 ! 3 × 2 × 1 × 5 ! = 336 6 = 56

5 C 3 = n ! r ! ( n − r ) ! = 5 ! 3 ! ( 5 − 3 ) ! = 5 ! 3 ! 2 ! = 5 × 4 × 3 ! 3 ! × 2 × 1 = 20 2 = 10

Now you can evaluate 8 C 3   ×   5 C 3   =   56   ×   10   =   560 .

There are 560 ways to choose 3 shirts and 3 skirts.

560

Your Turn 7.12 §7.4 source ↗

Identify the sample space of each experiment.

You draw a card from a standard deck and note its suit.

Answer

The sample space is the set of all possible outcomes.

{hearts, spades, clubs, diamonds}

{ ♡ , ♠ , ♣ , ♢ }

Your Turn 7.12 (b) §7.4 source ↗

Identify the sample space of each experiment.

You draw a card from a standard deck and note its rank.

Answer

The sample space is the set of all possible outcomes.

A represents an Ace, J for Jack, Q for Queen, and K for King.

{A, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, J, Q, K}

{A, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, J, Q, K}

Your Turn 7.12 (c) §7.4 source ↗

Identify the sample space of each experiment.

You roll a 4-sided die and note the number on the bottom. (A 4-sided die is shaped like a pyramid, so when it comes to rest, there’s no single side facing up.)

Answer

The sample space is the set of all possible outcomes. There are four possible outcomes.

{1, 2, 3, 4}

{1, 2, 3, 4}

Your Turn 7.12 (d) §7.4 source ↗

Identify the sample space of each experiment.

You roll three 4-sided dice and note the sum of the numbers on the bottom.

Answer

The sample space is the set of all possible outcomes. The possible outcomes are the possible sums from adding the choice from {1, 2, 3, 4} on three dice.

  Die 1 Roll Die 2 Roll Die 3 Roll Sum
Smallest possible roll 1 1 1 3
Largest possible roll 4 4 4 12

Every number between 3 and 12 is possible, too.

Sample space: {3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12}.

{3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12}

Your Turn 7.13 §7.4 source ↗

Decide whether the two stages in these experiments are dependent or independent.

You’re getting dressed to go to a party, and you plan to wear a blouse and a skirt. You choose the blouse first, then the skirt (assume that you’d be comfortable wearing any of your skirts with any of your blouses).

Answer

Independent stages do not affect each other. Dependent stages do affect each other.

If you do not care which colors go together, the choices of blouse and skirt are independent.

Independent

Your Turn 7.13 (b) §7.4 source ↗

Decide whether the two stages in these experiments are dependent or independent.

On further reflection, you realize that some of your skirts clash with some of your blouses. So, you choose the blouse first, and then choose a skirt that goes with your chosen blouse.

Answer

Independent stages do not affect each other. Dependent stages do affect each other.

Once you decide that if you choose the blue shirt, you will not wear the orange skirt (or something like that), the choices of blouse and skirt are dependent.

Dependent

Your Turn 7.14 §7.4 source ↗

Use a table to identify the sample space of an experiment in which you flip a coin and roll a 6-sided die.

Answer

    DIE          
  Choices 1 2 3 4 5 6
COIN TOSS H (H, 1) (H, 2) (H, 3) (H, 4) (H, 5) (H, 6)
  T (T, 1) (T, 2) (T, 3) (T, 4) (T, 5) (T, 6)

The sample space: {(H, 1), (H, 2), (H, 3), (H, 4), (H, 5), (H, 6), (T, 1), (T, 2), (T, 3), (T, 4), (T, 5), (T, 6) }

{H1, H2, H3, H4, H5, H6, T1, T2, T3, T4, T5, T6}

Your Turn 7.15 §7.4 source ↗

You have a modified deck of cards containing only J ♡ , Q ♡ , and K ♡ . You draw 2 cards without replacing them (where order matters). Use a tree diagram to identify the sample space.

Answer

Due to the limitations of graphics in the solution area, the “tree” will be simulated with a table.

      The root    
1st Draw J ♡ Q ♡ K ♡
2nd Draw Q ♡ K ♡ J ♡ K ♡ J ♡ Q ♡

Sample space: {((J ♡ , Q ♡ ), (J ♡ , K ♡ ),(Q ♡ , J ♡ ),(Q ♡ , K ♡ ),(K ♡ , J ♡ ),(K ♡ , Q ♡ )}

{J ♡ Q ♡ , J ♡ K ♡ , Q ♡ J ♡ , Q ♡ K ♡ , K ♡ J ♡ , K ♡ Q ♡ }

Check Your Understanding 7.4.17 §7.4 source ↗

You flip a coin 6 times and note the number of heads. What is the sample space of this experiment?

Answer

The minimum number of heads is none. The maximum number of heads is 6. Every number between 0 and 6 is possible.

The sample space: {0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6}

{0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6}

Check Your Understanding 7.4.18 §7.4 source ↗

You are ordering a combo meal at a restaurant. The meal comes with either 8 or 12 chicken nuggets, and your choice of crinkle fries, curly fries, or onion rings. Create a table to help you identify the sample space containing your combo meal possibilities.

Answer

Crinkle Fries Curly Fries Onion Rings
8 Nuggets 8 nuggets with crinkle fries 8 nuggets with curly fries 8 nuggets with onion rings
12 Nuggets 12 nuggets with crinkle fries 12 nuggets with curly fries 12 nuggets with onion rings

Check Your Understanding 7.4.19 §7.4 source ↗

You need one more class to fill out your schedule for next semester. You want to take either History 101 (H), English 220 (E), or Sociology 112 (S). There are two professors teaching the history class: Anderson (A) and Burr (B); one professor teaching the English class: Carter (C); and three people teaching sociology: Johnson (J), Kirk (K), and Lambert (L). Create a tree diagram that helps you identify all your options.

Answer

A tree diagram with three stages. The tree diagram shows a node branching into three nodes labeled H, E, and S. The node, H branches into two nodes labeled A and B. Node, E leads to a node labeled C. Node, S branches into three nodes labeled J, K, and L. The possible outcomes are as follows: H A, H B, E C, S J, S K, and S L.

Check Your Understanding 7.4.20 §7.4 source ↗

Identify the sample space from Exercise 18.

Answer

{8 nuggets with crinkle fries, 8 nuggets with curly fries, 8 nuggets with onion rings, 12 nuggets with crinkle fries, 12 nuggets with curly fries, 12 nuggets with onion rings}

Check Your Understanding 7.4.21 §7.4 source ↗

Identify the sample space from Exercise 19.

Answer

{history with Anderson, history with Burr, English with Carter, sociology with Johnson, sociology with Kirk, sociology with Lambert}

Your Turn 7.16 §7.5 source ↗

Jorge is about to conduct an experiment that consists of flipping a coin 4 times and recording the number of heads (H) . Decide if these probabilities are equal to zero, equal to one, or somewhere in between.

P ( H < 5 )

Answer

Jorge is flipping a coin only 4 times. He cannot have more than 4 heads, so the probability of less than 5 heads is equal to 1. P ( H < 5 ) = 1

Your Turn 7.16 (b) §7.5 source ↗

Jorge is about to conduct an experiment that consists of flipping a coin 4 times and recording the number of heads (H) . Decide if these probabilities are equal to zero, equal to one, or somewhere in between.

P ( H < 4 )

Answer

0 < P ( H < 4 ) < 1

Your Turn 7.16 (c) §7.5 source ↗

Jorge is about to conduct an experiment that consists of flipping a coin 4 times and recording the number of heads (H) . Decide if these probabilities are equal to zero, equal to one, or somewhere in between.

P ( H ≥ 5 )

Answer

Jorge is flipping a coin only 4 times. He cannot have more than 4 heads, so the probability of more than 5 heads is equal to zero. P ( H ≥ 5 ) = 0

Your Turn 7.17 §7.5 source ↗

You are about to roll a fair (meaning that each face has an equal chance of landing up) 6-sided die, whose faces are labeled with the numbers 1 through 6. Find the theoretical probabilities of each outcome.

You roll a 4.

Answer

1 6

For an experiment whose sample space S consists of equally likely outcomes, the theoretical probability of the event E is P ( E ) = n ( E ) n ( S ) , where n(E) and n(S) denote the number of outcomes in the event and in the sample space, respectively.

P ( 4 ) = 1 6

Your Turn 7.17 (b) §7.5 source ↗

You are about to roll a fair (meaning that each face has an equal chance of landing up) 6-sided die, whose faces are labeled with the numbers 1 through 6. Find the theoretical probabilities of each outcome.

You roll a number greater than 2.

Answer

2 3

For an experiment whose sample space S consists of equally likely outcomes, the theoretical probability of the event E is P ( E ) = n ( E ) n ( S ) , where n(E) and n(S) denote the number of outcomes in the event and in the sample space, respectively.

P ( g r e a t e r t h a n 2 ) = P ( 3 , 4 , 5 , o r 6 ) = 4 6 = 2 3

Your Turn 7.17 (c) §7.5 source ↗

You are about to roll a fair (meaning that each face has an equal chance of landing up) 6-sided die, whose faces are labeled with the numbers 1 through 6. Find the theoretical probabilities of each outcome.

You roll an odd number.

Answer

1 2

For an experiment whose sample space S consists of equally likely outcomes, the theoretical probability of the event E is P ( E ) = n ( E ) n ( S ) , where n(E) and n(S) denote the number of outcomes in the event and in the sample space, respectively.

P ( o d d ) = P ( 1 , 3 , o r 5 ) = 3 6 = 1 2

Your Turn 7.18 §7.5 source ↗

If you roll a pair of 4-sided dice with faces labeled with the numbers 1 through 4, what is the probability of rolling a sum of 6 or 7?

Answer

5 16
Sums 2nd roll        
1st roll Choices 1 2 3 4
  1 2 3 4 5
  2 3 4 5 6
  3 4 5 6 7
  4 5 6 7 8

Of the 16 possible sums, five of them are 6 or 7.

For an experiment whose sample space S consists of equally likely outcomes, the theoretical probability of the event E is P ( E ) = n ( E ) n ( S ) , where n(E) and n(S) denote the number of outcomes in the event and in the sample space, respectively.

P ( 6 o r 7 ) = 5 16

Your Turn 7.19 §7.5 source ↗

You have a modified deck of cards containing only 3 ♡ , 4 ♡ , and 5 ♡ . You draw 2 two cards without replacing them (where order matters). What is the probability of each event?

The first card drawn is 3 ♡ .

Answer

The “tree” as a table: These are all hearts, so only the number of the card is in the table.

Root 1st Draw 2nd Draw Results
  3 4 34
    5 35
  4 3 43
    5 45
  5 3 53
    4 54

There are six possible results.

P(the first card is a 3 heart) = 2 6 = 1 3 .

1 3

Your Turn 7.19 (b) §7.5 source ↗

You have a modified deck of cards containing only 3 ♡ , 4 ♡ , and 5 ♡ . You draw 2 two cards without replacing them (where order matters). What is the probability of each event?

The first card drawn has a lower number than the second card.

Answer

The “tree” as a table: These are all hearts, so only the number of the card is in the table.

Root 1st Draw 2nd Draw Results
  3 4 34
    5 35
  4 3 43
    5 45
  5 3 53
    4 54

There are six possible results. The ones that satisfy the requirement are 34, 35, and 45.

P(the first card drawn has a lower number than the second card) = 3 6 = 1 2 .

1 2

Your Turn 7.19 (c) §7.5 source ↗

You have a modified deck of cards containing only 3 ♡ , 4 ♡ , and 5 ♡ . You draw 2 two cards without replacing them (where order matters). What is the probability of each event?

One of the cards drawn is 4 ♡ .

Answer

The “tree” as a table: These are all hearts, so only the number of the card is in the table.

Root 1st Draw 2nd Draw Results
  3 4 34
    5 35
  4 3 43
    5 45
  5 3 53
    4 54

There are six possible results. The ones that satisfy the requirement are 34, 43, 45, and 54.

P(one of the cards drawn is the 4 hearts) = 4 6 = 2 3 .

2 3

Your Turn 7.20 §7.5 source ↗

Jessie is in charge of quality control at a factory manufacturing SUVs. Today, she’s checking the placement of the taillight housing. Of the last thousand units off the line, 13 had faulty placement. What empirical probability might Jesse assign to the next vehicle coming off the line having bad placement?

Answer

The empirical probability is number of times the event occurred in the previous replications total number of previous replications .

P(bad placement) = 13 1 , 000 = 1.3 % .

13 1 , 000 = 1.3 %

Your Turn 7.21 §7.5 source ↗

Classify each of the following probabilities as theoretical, empirical, or subjective.

You have entered a raffle with 500 entrants. Your probability of winning is 0.2%.

Answer

theoretical

This is theoretical. You know that 500 people have tickets.

For an experiment whose sample space S consists of equally likely outcomes, the theoretical probability of the event E is P ( E ) = n ( E ) n ( S ) , where n(E) and n(S) denote the number of outcomes in the event and in the sample space, respectively.

P ( w i n n i n g ) = 1 500 = 0.002 = 0.2 %

Your Turn 7.21 (b) §7.5 source ↗

Classify each of the following probabilities as theoretical, empirical, or subjective.

Your little brother takes the bus to school each morning. On the first day of school, you believe that the probability that the bus arrives between 7:15 AM and 7:30 AM is about 80%.

Answer

subjective When you see “you believe,” you know this is not yet based on facts. It is the first day of school. The person has not yet seen the bus arrive and is guessing when it will arrive. This is subjective, which is based on instinct.

Your Turn 7.21 (c) §7.5 source ↗

Classify each of the following probabilities as theoretical, empirical, or subjective.

Your little brother takes the bus to school each morning. On the last day of school, you believe that the probability that the bus arrives between 7:15 AM and 7:30 AM is about 73%.

Answer

empirical This is the last day of school. The person is basing the probability on previous replications of the experiment, having seen the bus arrive repeatedly between those times. This is empirical.

Your Turn 7.22 §7.5 source ↗

If you roll a pair of 4-sided dice with faces labeled 1 through 4, what is the probability that the sum of the resulting numbers will be greater than 3? Hint: You found this sample space in an earlier Your Turn.

Answer

Sums   2nd roll      
  Choices 1 2 3 4
1st roll 1 2 3 4 5
  2 3 4 5 6
  3 4 5 6 7
  4 5 6 7 8

Of the 16 possible sums, 13 of them are greater than 3.

For an experiment whose sample space S consists of equally likely outcomes, the theoretical probability of the event E is P ( E ) = n ( E ) n ( S ) , where n(E) and n(S) denote the number of outcomes in the event and in the sample space, respectively.

P ( g r e a t e r t h a n 3 ) = 13 16

13 16

Check Your Understanding 7.5.22 §7.5 source ↗

You have two coins: a nickel and a quarter. You flip them both. Find the probabilities of these events:

Both come up heads.

Answer

Nickel Quarter
H H
H T
T H
T T

P ( b o t h h e a d s ) = P ( H H ) = 1 4

1 4

Check Your Understanding 7.5.23 §7.5 source ↗

You have two coins: a nickel and a quarter. You flip them both. Find the probabilities of these events:

The quarter comes up heads.

Answer

Nickel Quarter
H H
H T
T H
T T

P ( q u a r t e r h e a d s ) = P ( H H o r H T ) = 2 4 = 1 2

1 2

Check Your Understanding 7.5.24 §7.5 source ↗

You have two coins: a nickel and a quarter. You flip them both. Find the probabilities of these events:

You get one heads and one tails.

Answer

Nickel Quarter
H H
H T
T H
T T

P ( o n e h e a d o n e t a i l ) = P ( H T o r T H ) = 2 4 = 1 2

1 2

Check Your Understanding 7.5.25 §7.5 source ↗

You have two coins: a nickel and a quarter. You flip them both. Find the probabilities of these events:

You get three tails.

Answer

Nickel Quarter
H H
H T
T H
T T

P ( t h r e e t a i l s ) = 0 There are only two tosses.

0

Check Your Understanding 7.5.26 §7.5 source ↗

Decide whether the given probabilities were most likely derived theoretically, empirically, or subjectively.

A poker player has a 16% chance of making a hand called a flush on the next card.

Answer

This is theoretical because you know the composition of a deck and can calculate the chance of drawing a particular card. theoretically

Check Your Understanding 7.5.27 §7.5 source ↗

Decide whether the given probabilities were most likely derived theoretically, empirically, or subjectively.

Your friend Jacob tells you that there’s a 20% chance he’ll get married in the next 5 years.

Answer

Subjective. There is no good way to make measurements or collect data for this probability. A subjective probability is an assignment of a probability to an event using only one’s instincts. subjectively

Check Your Understanding 7.5.28 §7.5 source ↗

Decide whether the given probabilities were most likely derived theoretically, empirically, or subjectively.

Ashley has a coin that they think might not be fair, so they flip it 100 times and note that the result was heads 58 times. So, Ashley says the probability of flipping heads on that coin is about 58%.

Answer

Empirical. They are using data from replications to calculate from experience, not from theoretical expected values. empirically

Check Your Understanding 7.5.29 §7.5 source ↗

If you flip a fair coin 50 times, the probability of getting 20 or fewer heads is about 10.1% (a fact we’ll learn how to verify later).

If E is the event “number of heads is 20 or fewer”, describe the event E ′ using an inequality.

Answer

number of heads > 20

The complement of E is the collection of all the outcomes that are not in E.

E is 20 or fewer heads.

The complement of E is the number of heads is > 20.

Check Your Understanding 7.5.30 §7.5 source ↗

If you flip a fair coin 50 times, the probability of getting 20 or fewer heads is about 10.1% (a fact we’ll learn how to verify later).

Find P ( E ′ ) .

Answer

The P(complement of E) = 1 – P(E) = 1 – 10.1 = 89.9%. 89.9%

Your Turn 7.23 §7.6 source ↗

Another bag of letters contains C, C, C, C, D, D, I, I, I, T, T, T, Y, Y, Y, Y. What is the probability that 4 letters chosen at random will spell, in order, CITY?

Answer

144 43680 = 3 910

Your Turn 7.24 §7.6 source ↗

At a charity event with 58 people in attendance, 3 raffle winners are chosen. All receive the same prize, so order doesn’t matter. You are attending with 4 of your friends. What is the probability that at least one of you or your friends wins a raffle prize? Hint: Find the probability that none of you wins, and use the formula for complements.

Answer

1 − 53 C 3 58 C 3 ≈ 10.7 %

Your Turn 7.24 (b) §7.6 source ↗

If you draw a hand of 5 cards from a standard deck, what is the probability that 2 cards are ♠ and 3 cards are ♡ ?

Answer

The number of possible five-card hands out of a 52-card deck is 52C5 = 2,598,960 .

There are 13 cards in each suit.

The number of ways to draw 2 spades out of 13 spades is 13C2 = 78 .

The number of ways to draw 3 hearts out of 13 hearts is 13C3 = 286 .

Use the Multiplication Rule of Counting to count the ways to draw 2 spades and 3 hearts:

13 C 2   ×   13 C 3

P(drawing 2 spades and 3 hearts) = w a y s t o d r a w 2 s p a d e s a n d 3 h e a r t s w a y s t o d r a w 5 c a r d s = 78 × 286 2 , 598 , 960 ≈ 0.086 % .

13 C 2 × 13 C 3 52 C 5 ≈ 0.86 %

Check Your Understanding 7.6.31 §7.6 source ↗

For the following exercises, you are drawing Scrabble tiles without replacement from a bag containing the letters A, C, E, E, I, N, N, S, S, W.

What is the probability that you draw (in order) the letters W-I-N?

Answer

1 × 1 × 2 10 P 3 ≈ 0.278 %

Check Your Understanding 7.6.32 §7.6 source ↗

For the following exercises, you are drawing Scrabble tiles without replacement from a bag containing the letters A, C, E, E, I, N, N, S, S, W.

What is the probability that you draw (in order) the letters W-I-S-E?

Answer

1 × 1 × 2 × 2 10 P 4 ≈ 0.079 %

Check Your Understanding 7.6.33 §7.6 source ↗

For the following exercises, you are drawing Scrabble tiles without replacement from a bag containing the letters A, C, E, E, I, N, N, S, S, W.

What is the probability that you draw (in order) the letters S-E-E-N?

Answer

2 × 2 × 1 × 2 10 P 4 ≈ 0.16 %

Check Your Understanding 7.6.34 §7.6 source ↗

For the following exercises, you are drawing Scrabble tiles without replacement from a bag containing the letters A, C, E, E, I, N, N, S, S, W.

What is the probability that you draw (in any order) the letters W-I-N?

Answer

1 × 1 × 2 10 C 3 ≈ 1.67 %

Check Your Understanding 7.6.35 §7.6 source ↗

For the following exercises, you are drawing Scrabble tiles without replacement from a bag containing the letters A, C, E, E, I, N, N, S, S, W.

What is the probability that you draw (in any order) the letters W-I-S-E?

Answer

1 × 1 × 2 × 2 10 C 4 ≈ 1.9 %

Check Your Understanding 7.6.36 §7.6 source ↗

For the following exercises, you are drawing Scrabble tiles without replacement from a bag containing the letters A, C, E, E, I, N, N, S, S, W.

What is the probability that you draw (in any order) the letters S-E-E-N?

Answer

2 × 1 × 2 10 C 4 ≈ 1.9 %

Your Turn 7.25 §7.7 source ↗

You roll a pair of 4-sided dice with faces labeled 1 through 4.

What are the odds for rolling a sum greater than 3?

Answer

The sample space:

Sums 2nd roll        
1st roll Choices 1 2 3 4
  1 2 3 4 5
  2 3 4 5 6
  3 4 5 6 7
  4 5 6 7 8

The total number of outcomes: 16.

The outcomes greater than three: 13.

The number of outcomes not in the desired event is 16   −   13   =   3 .

The ratio of the number of equally likely outcomes in an event E to the number of equally likely outcomes not in the event is called the odds for (or odds in favor of) the event.

The odds in favor of your event are 13: 3 .

13 : 3

Your Turn 7.25 (b) §7.7 source ↗

You roll a pair of 4-sided dice with faces labeled 1 through 4.

What are the odds against both dice giving the same number?

Answer

The sample space:

Both Rolls 2nd roll        
1st roll Choices 1 2 3 4
  1 1,1 1,2 1,3 1,4
  2 2,1 2.2 2,3 2,4
  3 3,1 3,2 3,3 3,4
  4 4,1 4,2 4,3 4,4

The total number of outcomes: 16.

The outcomes with both dice giving the same number: 4.

The number of outcomes not in the desired event is 16   −   4   =   12 .

The ratio of the number of equally likely outcomes in an event E to the number of equally likely outcomes not in the event is called the odds for (or odds in favor of) the event.

The odds against your event are 12:4 or 3:1 .

12 : 4 = 3 : 1

Your Turn 7.26 §7.7 source ↗

If the probability of an event E is 80%, find the odds for and the odds against E .

Answer

Odds for:

If the probability is 80%, then the odds for the event are 0.8 : ( 1 − 0.8 ) .

0.8   :   0.2

You can simplify the ratio by dividing both numbers by 0.8.

1   :   0.25

You can multiply again by 4 to get rid of decimals.

4   :   1

Odds against: (reverse the numbers).

1   :   4

The odds for E are 4 : 1 and the odds against E are 1 : 4 .

Your Turn 7.27 §7.7 source ↗

Find P ( E ) if E :

The odds of E are 15 : 1 against

Answer

The odds in favor of E are 1: 15 .

If the odds in favor of E are A : B , then

P ( E ) = A A + B .

P ( E ) = A A + B = 1 15 + 1 = 1 16

P ( E ) = 1 16

Your Turn 7.27 (b) §7.7 source ↗

Find P ( E ) if E :

The odds of E are 2.5 : 1 in favor

Answer

The odds in favor of E are 2.5   :   1 .

If the odds in favor of E are A : B , then

P ( E ) = A A + B .

P ( E ) = A A + B = 2.5 2.5 + 1 = 2.5 3.5 = 25 35 = 5 7 ≈ 0.714

P ( E ) = 2.5 3.5 ≈ 0.714

Check Your Understanding 7.7.37 §7.7 source ↗

For the following exercises, you are rolling a 6-sided die with 3 orange faces, 2 green faces, and 1 blue face.

What are the odds in favor of rolling a green face?

Answer

The total number of outcomes: 6.

The outcomes with a green face: 2.

The number of outcomes not in the desired event is 6   −   2   =   4 .

The odds in favor of rolling a green face are 2 :   4 or 1 : 2 .

1 : 2

Check Your Understanding 7.7.38 §7.7 source ↗

For the following exercises, you are rolling a 6-sided die with 3 orange faces, 2 green faces, and 1 blue face.

What are the odds against rolling a blue face?

Answer

The total number of outcomes is 6.

The number of outcomes with a blue face is 1.

The number of outcomes not in the desired event is 6   −   1   =   5 .

The odds against rolling a blue face are 5   :   1 .

5 : 1

Check Your Understanding 7.7.39 §7.7 source ↗

For the following exercises, you are rolling a 6-sided die with 3 orange faces, 2 green faces, and 1 blue face.

What are the odds in favor of rolling an orange face?

Answer

The total number of outcomes is 6.

The number of outcomes with an orange face is 3.

The number of outcomes not in the desired event is 6   −   3   =   3 .

The odds in favor of rolling an orange face is 3   :   3 or 1   :   1 .

1 : 1

Check Your Understanding 7.7.40 §7.7 source ↗

What are the odds in favor of an event with probability 3 8 ?

Answer

Odds for:

If the probability is 3 8 then the odds for the event are 3 8 : ( 1 − 3 8 ) .

3 8 : 5 8

Multiply both numbers by 8 to clear fractions.

3:5

3 : 5

Check Your Understanding 7.7.41 §7.7 source ↗

What are the odds against an event with probability 2 13 ?

Answer

Odds for:

If the probability is 2 13 then the odds for the event are 2 13 : ( 1 − 2 13 ) .

2 13 : 11 13

Multiply both numbers by 13 to clear fractions.

2:11

Reverse the ratio to find the odds against the event.

11: 2

11 : 2

Check Your Understanding 7.7.42 §7.7 source ↗

What is the probability of an event with odds 9 : 4 against?

Answer

The odds in favor of E are 4:9 .

If the odds in favor of E are A : B , then

P ( E ) = A A + B .

P ( E ) = A A + B = 4 4 + 9 = 4 13

4 13

Check Your Understanding 7.7.43 §7.7 source ↗

What is the probability of an event with odds 5 : 7 in favor?

Answer

The odds in favor of E are 5:7 .

If the odds in favor of E are A : B , then

P ( E ) = A A + B .

P ( E ) = A A + B = 5 5 + 7 = 5 12

5 12

Your Turn 7.28 §7.8 source ↗

Suppose you’re about to draw one card from a deck containing only these 10 cards: A ♡ , A ♠ , A ♣ , A ♢ , K ♠ , K ♣ , Q ♡ , Q ♠ , J ♡ , J ♠ . Decide whether these events are mutually exclusive:

E is the event “the card is an ace” and F is the event “the card is a king.”

Answer

E = {A hearts, A spades, A clubs, A diamonds}

F = {K hearts, K spades, K clubs, K diamonds}

There are no outcomes in common.

These are mutually exclusive.

Mutually exclusive

Your Turn 7.28 (b) §7.8 source ↗

Suppose you’re about to draw one card from a deck containing only these 10 cards: A ♡ , A ♠ , A ♣ , A ♢ , K ♠ , K ♣ , Q ♡ , Q ♠ , J ♡ , J ♠ . Decide whether these events are mutually exclusive:

R is the event “the card is a ♡ ” and E is the event “the card is an ace.”

Answer

They have the Ace of hearts in common.

They are not mutually exclusive.

Not mutually exclusive

Your Turn 7.28 (c) §7.8 source ↗

Suppose you’re about to draw one card from a deck containing only these 10 cards: A ♡ , A ♠ , A ♣ , A ♢ , K ♠ , K ♣ , Q ♡ , Q ♠ , J ♡ , J ♠ . Decide whether these events are mutually exclusive:

R is the event “the card is a ♡ ” and F is the event “the card is a king.”

Answer

Mutually exclusive

Your Turn 7.29 §7.8 source ↗

Suppose you’re about to draw one card from a deck containing only these 10 cards:
A ♡ , A ♠ , A ♣ , AA ♢ , K ♠ , K ♣ , Q ♡ , Q ♠ , J ♡ , J ♠ . If appropriate, use the Addition Rule to find the probability that one or the other of these events occurs:

E is the event “the card is an ace” and F is the event “the card is a king.”

Answer

4 10 + 2 10 = 3 5

Sample Space:

A heart A spade A club A diamond K spade K club Q heart Q spade J heart J spade

There are 10 cards, 4 of which are Aces and 2 are kings.

The Addition Rule for Mutually Exclusive Events:

If E and F are mutually exclusive events, then P ( E or F )   =  P ( E )   +  P ( F ) .

P(Ace or King) = 4 10 + 2 10 = 6 10 = 3 5 .

Your Turn 7.29 (b) §7.8 source ↗

Suppose you’re about to draw one card from a deck containing only these 10 cards:
A ♡ , A ♠ , A ♣ , AA ♢ , K ♠ , K ♣ , Q ♡ , Q ♠ , J ♡ , J ♠ . If appropriate, use the Addition Rule to find the probability that one or the other of these events occurs:

R is the event “the card is a ♡ ” and E is the event “the card is an ace.”

Answer

Not appropriate; the events are not mutually exclusive.

Sample Space:

A heart A spade A club A diamond K spade K club Q heart Q spade J heart J spade

There are 10 cards.

These are not mutually exclusive events. There is only one card that is both a heart and an Ace, and that is the Ace of hearts. It is not appropriate to use the Addition Rule, so we do not continue this exercise.

Your Turn 7.29 (c) §7.8 source ↗

Suppose you’re about to draw one card from a deck containing only these 10 cards:
A ♡ , A ♠ , A ♣ , AA ♢ , K ♠ , K ♣ , Q ♡ , Q ♠ , J ♡ , J ♠ . If appropriate, use the Addition Rule to find the probability that one or the other of these events occurs:

R is the event “the card is a ♡ ” and F is the event “the card is a king.”

Answer

3 10 + 2 10 = 1 2

Sample Space:

A heart A spade A club A diamond K spade K club Q heart Q spade J heart J spade

There are 10 cards, three of which are hearts and two of which are kings.

(Note, the kings are a spade and a club.)

The Addition Rule for Mutually Exclusive Events:

If E and F are mutually exclusive events, then P ( E or F )   =  P ( E )   +  P ( F ) .

P(heart or king) = 3 10 + 2 10 = 5 10 = 1 2 .

Your Turn 7.30 §7.8 source ↗

You are about to roll a special 6-sided die that has both a colored letter and a colored number on each face. The faces are labeled with: a red 1 and a blue A, a red 1 and a green A, an orange 1 and a green B, an orange 2 and a red C, a purple 3 and a brown D, an orange 4 and a blue E. Find the probabilities of these events:

The number is orange or even.

Answer

Sample Space:

Letter side Red 1 Red 1 Orange 1 Orange 2 Purple 3 Orange 4
Number side Blue A Green A Green B Red C Brown D Blue E

Orange: Orange 1, Orange 2. This is 2 outcomes.

Even: Orange 2, Orange 4. This is 2 outcomes.

Outcomes in common: Orange 2. This is 1 outcome in common.

You can use the Inclusion/Exclusion Principle. If E and F are not mutually exclusive, then

P ( E or F )   =  P ( E )   +  P ( F )   −  P ( E and F ).

P(orange or even) = P(orange) + P(even) – P(orange and even) = 2 6 + 2 6 − 1 6 = 3 6 = 1 2 .

1 2

Your Turn 7.30 (b) §7.8 source ↗

You are about to roll a special 6-sided die that has both a colored letter and a colored number on each face. The faces are labeled with: a red 1 and a blue A, a red 1 and a green A, an orange 1 and a green B, an orange 2 and a red C, a purple 3 and a brown D, an orange 4 and a blue E. Find the probabilities of these events:

The letter is green or an A.

Answer

Sample Space:

Letter side Red 1 Red 1 Orange 1 Orange 2 Purple 3 Orange 4
Number side Blue A Green A Green B Red C Brown D Blue E

Green: Green A, Green B. This is 2 outcomes.

A: Blue A, Green A. This is 2 outcomes.

Common: Green A. This is 1 outcome in common.

They are not mutually exclusive.

You can use the Inclusion/Exclusion Principle. If E and F are not mutually exclusive, then

P ( E or F )   =  P ( E )   +  P ( F )   −  P ( E and F ).

P(green or A) = P(green) + P(A) – P(green and A) = 2 6 + 2 6 − 1 6 = 3 6 = 1 2 .

1 2

Your Turn 7.30 (c) §7.8 source ↗

You are about to roll a special 6-sided die that has both a colored letter and a colored number on each face. The faces are labeled with: a red 1 and a blue A, a red 1 and a green A, an orange 1 and a green B, an orange 2 and a red C, a purple 3 and a brown D, an orange 4 and a blue E. Find the probabilities of these events:

The number is even or the letter is green.

Answer

2 3

Sample Space:

Letter side Red 1 Red 1 Orange 1 Orange 2 Purple 3 Orange 4
Number side Blue A Green A Green B Red C Brown D Blue E

Even: Orange 2, Orange 4, which makes 2 outcomes.

Green: Green A, Green B, which makes 2 outcomes.

They are mutually exclusive.

You can use the Addition Rule for Mutually Exclusive Events:

If E and F are mutually exclusive events, then P ( E or F )   =  P ( E )   +  P ( F ) .

P(even or green) = 2 6 + 2 6 = 4 6 = 2 3 .

Check Your Understanding 7.8.44 §7.8 source ↗

You are about to draw a card at random from a deck containing only these 10 cards: A ♡ , A ♠ , A ♣ , A ♢ , K ♠ , K ♣ , Q ♡ , Q ♠ , J ♡ , J ♠ . Compute the following probabilities:

You draw an ace or a king.

Answer

Sample Space:

A heart A spade A club A diamond K spade K club Q heart Q spade J heart J spade

These are mutually exclusive.

There are 10 cards.

You can use the Addition Rule for Mutually Exclusive Events:

If E and F are mutually exclusive events, then P ( E or F )   =  P ( E )   +  P ( F ) .

There are 4 Aces and 2 kings.

P(A or K) = 4 10 + 2 10 = 6 10 = 3 5 .

3 5

Check Your Understanding 7.8.45 §7.8 source ↗

You are about to draw a card at random from a deck containing only these 10 cards: A ♡ , A ♠ , A ♣ , A ♢ , K ♠ , K ♣ , Q ♡ , Q ♠ , J ♡ , J ♠ . Compute the following probabilities:

You draw a ♠ or a ♣ .

Answer

Sample Space:

A heart A spade A club A diamond K spade K club Q heart Q spade J heart J spade

These are mutually exclusive.

There are 10 cards.

You can use the Addition Rule for Mutually Exclusive Events:

If E and F are mutually exclusive events, then P ( E or F )   =  P ( E )   +  P ( F ) .

There are 4 spades and 2 clubs.

P(spade or club) = 4 10 + 2 10 = 6 10 = 3 5 .

3 5

Check Your Understanding 7.8.46 §7.8 source ↗

You are about to draw a card at random from a deck containing only these 10 cards: A ♡ , A ♠ , A ♣ , A ♢ , K ♠ , K ♣ , Q ♡ , Q ♠ , J ♡ , J ♠ . Compute the following probabilities:

You draw an ace or a ♡ .

Answer

Sample Space:

A heart A spade A club A diamond K spade K club Q heart Q spade J heart J spade

Ace or heart are not mutually exclusive.

Aces: A heart, A spade, A club, A diamond.

Hearts: Q heart, J heart.

In common: Ace of hearts.

There are not mutually exclusive events.

There are 10 cards.

You can use the Inclusion/Exclusion Principle. If E and F are not mutually exclusive, then

P ( E or F )   =  P ( E )   −  P ( F ) ( E and F ).

P(Ace or heart) = P(A) + P(heart) – P(A and heart) = 4 10 + 3 10 − 1 10 = 6 10 = 3 5 .

3 5

Check Your Understanding 7.8.47 §7.8 source ↗

You are about to draw a card at random from a deck containing only these 10 cards: A ♡ , A ♠ , A ♣ , A ♢ , K ♠ , K ♣ , Q ♡ , Q ♠ , J ♡ , J ♠ . Compute the following probabilities:

You draw a jack or a ♡ .

Answer

Sample Space:

A heart A spade A club A diamond K spade K club Q heart Q spade J heart J spade

Jacks: Jack heart, Jack spade.

Hearts: Ace hearts, Queen hearts, Jack hearts.

Jack and Heart: J heart.

These are not mutually exclusive.

There are 10 cards.

You can use the Inclusion/Exclusion Principle. If E and F are not mutually exclusive, then

P ( E or F )   =   P ( E )   +   P ( F )   −  P ( E and F ).

P(Jack or heart) = P(J) + P(heart) – P(J and heart) = 2 10 + 3 10 − 1 10 = 4 10 = 2 5 .

2 5

Check Your Understanding 7.8.48 §7.8 source ↗

You are about to draw a card at random from a deck containing only these 10 cards: A ♡ , A ♠ , A ♣ , A ♢ , K ♠ , K ♣ , Q ♡ , Q ♠ , J ♡ , J ♠ . Compute the following probabilities:

You draw a jack or a ♣ .

Answer

Sample Space:

A heart A spade A club A diamond K spade K club Q heart Q spade J heart J spade

Jacks: Jack heart, Jack spade.

Clubs: Ace club, King club.

These are mutually exclusive.

There are 10 cards.

If E and F are not mutually exclusive events, then P ( E or F )   =  P ( E )   +  P ( F ) .

P(jack or club) = 2 10 + 2 10 = 4 10 = 2 5 .

2 5

Check Your Understanding 7.8.49 §7.8 source ↗

You are about to draw a card at random from a deck containing only these 10 cards: A ♡ , A ♠ , A ♣ , A ♢ , K ♠ , K ♣ , Q ♡ , Q ♠ , J ♡ , J ♠ . Compute the following probabilities:

You draw a king or a ♢ .

Answer

Sample Space:

A heart A spade A club A diamond K spade K club Q heart Q spade J heart J spade

Kings: King spade, King club.

Diamonds: Ace diamond.

These are mutually exclusive.

There are 10 cards.

You can use the Addition Rule for Mutually Exclusive Events:

If E and F are mutually exclusive events, then P ( E or F )   =  P ( E )   +  P ( F ) .

P(King or diamond) = 2 10 + 1 10 = 3 10 .

3 10

Your Turn 7.31 §7.9 source ↗

You are about to roll a special 6-sided die that has both a colored letter and a colored number on each face. The faces are labeled with: a red 1 and a blue A, a red 1 and a green A, an orange 1 and a green B, an orange 2 and a red C, a purple 3 and a brown D, an orange 4 and a blue E. Find the given conditional probabilities:

P ( the letter is a vowel | the number is orange )

Answer

1 3

Sample space:

Letter side Red 1 Red 1 Orange 1 Orange 2 Purple 3 Orange 4
Number side Blue A Green A Green B Red C Brown D Blue E

What is the probability of a vowel given that an orange has been rolled?

An orange has been rolled, which means that one of these sides is the result.

Orange 1 Orange 2 Orange 4
Green B Red C Blue E

Vowels: E.

From these choices, P ( letter us a vowel | the number is orange )   = 1 3 .

Your Turn 7.31 (b) §7.9 source ↗

You are about to roll a special 6-sided die that has both a colored letter and a colored number on each face. The faces are labeled with: a red 1 and a blue A, a red 1 and a green A, an orange 1 and a green B, an orange 2 and a red C, a purple 3 and a brown D, an orange 4 and a blue E. Find the given conditional probabilities:

P ( the number is 1 | the number is red )

Answer

1

Sample space:

Letter side Red 1 Red 1 Orange 1 Orange 2 Purple 3 Orange 4
Number side Blue A Green A Green B Red C Brown D Blue E

What is the probability of a 1 given that a red has been rolled?

A red has been rolled, meaning that one of these sides is the result.

Red 1 Red 1
Blue A Green A

Both sides have a 1.

From these choices, P ( the number is a 1 | the number is red )   = 1 1 = 1 .

Your Turn 7.31 (c) §7.9 source ↗

You are about to roll a special 6-sided die that has both a colored letter and a colored number on each face. The faces are labeled with: a red 1 and a blue A, a red 1 and a green A, an orange 1 and a green B, an orange 2 and a red C, a purple 3 and a brown D, an orange 4 and a blue E. Find the given conditional probabilities:

P ( the number is red | the number is 1 )

Answer

2 3

Sample space:

Letter side Red 1 Red 1 Orange 1 Orange 2 Purple 3 Orange 4
Number side Blue A Green A Green B Red C Brown D Blue E

What is the probability of a red given that a 1 has been rolled?

A red has been rolled, which means that one of these sides is the result.

Red 1 Red 1 Orange 1
Blue A Green A Green B

Two of these sides are red.

From these choices, P ( the number is red | the number is a 1 )   = 2 3 .

Your Turn 7.32 §7.9 source ↗

You’re drawing 2 cards in order from a deck containing only the cards A ♡ , A ♣ , K ♠ , 10 ♡ , 9 ♡ , 9 ♠ , 9 ♢ , and 6 ♣ . Compute the following:

P ( draw a ♡ first and a ♠ second )

Answer

Sample space:

A heart A club K spade 10 heart 9 heart 9 spade 9 diamond 6 club

The Multiplication Rule for Probability: If E and F are events associated with the first and second stages of an experiment, then P ( E and F )   =  P ( E )   ×  P ( F | E ) .

There are 3 hearts to be drawn first out of 8 cards.

There are two spades to be drawn second out of 7 cards.

P(heart, then spade) =  3 8 ( 2 7 ) = 6 56 = 3 28 .

3 28

Your Turn 7.32 (b) §7.9 source ↗

You’re drawing 2 cards in order from a deck containing only the cards A ♡ , A ♣ , K ♠ , 10 ♡ , 9 ♡ , 9 ♠ , 9 ♢ , and 6 ♣ . Compute the following:

P ( draw a 9 first and a 6 second )

Answer

Sample space:

A heart A club K spade 10 heart 9 heart 9 spade 9 diamond 6 club

The Multiplication Rule for Probability: If E and F are events associated with the first and second stages of an experiment, then P ( E and F )   =  P ( E )   ×  P ( F | E ) .

There are 3 hearts to be drawn first out of 8 cards.

For the second draw, there are 2 remaining hearts to be drawn out of the remaining 7 cards.

P(9, then a 6) =  3 8 ( 1 7 ) = 3 56 .

3 56

Your Turn 7.32 (c) §7.9 source ↗

You’re drawing 2 cards in order from a deck containing only the cards A ♡ , A ♣ , K ♠ , 10 ♡ , 9 ♡ , 9 ♠ , 9 ♢ , and 6 ♣ . Compute the following:

P ( draw two hearts )

Answer

Sample space:

A heart A club K spade 10 heart 9 heart 9 spade 9 diamond 6 club

The Multiplication Rule for Probability: If E and F are events associated with the first and second stages of an experiment, then P ( E and F )   =  P ( E )   ×  P ( F | E ) .

There are 3 nines to be drawn first out of 8 cards.

There is 1 six be drawn second out of 7 cards.

P(a heart, then another heart) =  3 8 ( 2 7 ) = 6 56 = 3 28 .

3 28

Your Turn 7.33 §7.9 source ↗

You are about to perform the following two-stage experiment. First, you will flip a coin. If the result is heads, roll a standard 6-sided die. If the result of the coin flip is tails, roll a modified 6-sided die with faces labeled 1, 1, 1, 2, 2, 3. Use a tree diagram to find the probability of rolling each of the numbers from 1 to 6.

Answer

A table will be used to represent the tree.

Flip H           T          
Roll 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 1 1 2 2 3
Result H1 H2 H3 H4 H5 H6 T1 T1 T1 T2 T2 T3

There are 12 total outcomes. The probabilities are in the last column of the table.

Number Number of Outcomes Probability
1 4 4 12 = 1 3
2 2 3 12 = 1 4
3 2 2 12 = 1 6
4 1 1 12
5 1 1 12
6 1 1 12
Roll Probability
1 1 3
2 1 4
3 1 6
4 1 12
5 1 12
6 1 12

Check Your Understanding 7.9.50 §7.9 source ↗

For the following exercises, you are rolling two 6-sided dice, each of which has 3 orange faces, 2 green faces, and 1 blue face.

What is the probability of rolling 2 orange faces?

Answer

Sample space:

Orange Orange Orange Green Green Blue

On both rolls, you have 3 orange sides out of 6 sides.

The Multiplication Rule for Probability: If E and F are events associated with the first and second stages of an experiment, then P ( E and F )   =  P ( E )   ×  P ( F | E ) .

P(orange and orange) = 3 6 ( 3 6 ) = 9 36 = 1 4 .

1 4

Check Your Understanding 7.9.51 §7.9 source ↗

For the following exercises, you are rolling two 6-sided dice, each of which has 3 orange faces, 2 green faces, and 1 blue face.

What is the probability of rolling 2 green faces?

Answer

Sample space:

Orange Orange Orange Green Green Blue

On both rolls, you have 2 green faces out of 6 sides.

The Multiplication Rule for Probability: If E and F are events associated with the first and second stages of an experiment, then P ( E and F )   =  P ( E )   ×  P ( F | E ) .

P(green and green) = 2 6 ( 2 6 ) = 4 36 = 1 9 .

1 9

Check Your Understanding 7.9.52 §7.9 source ↗

For the following exercises, you are rolling two 6-sided dice, each of which has 3 orange faces, 2 green faces, and 1 blue face.

What is the probability of rolling 1 orange and 1 green face (in any order)?

Answer

Sample space:

Orange Orange Orange Green Green Blue

You have 3 orange sides out of 6 sides.

You have 2 green faces out of 6 sides.

The Multiplication Rule for Probability: If E and F are events associated with the first and second stages of an experiment, then P ( E and F )   =  P ( E )   ×  P ( F | E ) .

P(orange and green) = 3 6 ( 2 6 ) = 6 36 = 1 6 .

1 6

Check Your Understanding 7.9.53 §7.9 source ↗

For the following exercises, you are about to draw 2 cards at random (without replacement) from a deck containing only these 10 cards: A ♡ , A ♠ , A ♣ , A ♢ , K ♠ , K ♣ , Q ♡ , Q ♠ , J ♡ , J ♠ .

What is the probability of drawing 2 aces?

Answer

Sample space:

A heart A spade A club A diamond K spade K club Q heart Q spade J heart J spade

For the first card, you have 4 Aces out of 10 cards.

For the second card, you have 3 Aces and 9 cards.

The Multiplication Rule for Probability: If E and F are events associated with the first and second stages of an experiment, then P ( E and F )   =  P ( E )   ×  P ( F | E ) .

P(Ace, Ace) = 4 10 ( 3 9 ) = 12 90 = 2 15 .

2 15

Check Your Understanding 7.9.54 §7.9 source ↗

For the following exercises, you are about to draw 2 cards at random (without replacement) from a deck containing only these 10 cards: A ♡ , A ♠ , A ♣ , A ♢ , K ♠ , K ♣ , Q ♡ , Q ♠ , J ♡ , J ♠ .

What is the probability of drawing an ace first and a king second?

Answer

Sample space:

A heart A spade A club A diamond K spade K club Q heart Q spade J heart J spade

For the first card, you have 4 Aces out of 10 cards.

For the second card, you have 2 kings and 9 cards.

The Multiplication Rule for Probability: If E and F are events associated with the first and second stages of an experiment, then P ( E and F )   =  P ( E )   ×  P ( F | E ) .

P(Ace, Ace) = 4 10 ( 2 9 ) = 8 90 = 4 45 .

4 45

Check Your Understanding 7.9.55 §7.9 source ↗

For the following exercises, you are about to draw 2 cards at random (without replacement) from a deck containing only these 10 cards: A ♡ , A ♠ , A ♣ , A ♢ , K ♠ , K ♣ , Q ♡ , Q ♠ , J ♡ , J ♠ .

What is the probability of drawing a ♣ and a ♠ (in any order)?

Answer

8 45

Your Turn 7.34 §7.10 source ↗

Decide whether the following experiments are binomial experiments:

Draw a card from a well-shuffled deck, note its suit, and replace it. Repeat this process 5 times.

Answer

A binomial trial has two outcomes. A binomial experiment is an experiment with a fixed number of repeated binomial trials, where each trial has the same probability of success.

This is not binomial because it has more than two outcomes.

Not binomial (more than two outcomes)

Your Turn 7.34 (b) §7.10 source ↗

Decide whether the following experiments are binomial experiments:

Draw 5 cards from a well-shuffled deck and count the number of ♣ .

Answer

A binomial trial has two outcomes. A binomial experiment is an experiment with a fixed number of repeated binomial trials, where each trial has the same probability of success.

This is not binomial because there are more than two outcomes.

Not binomial (not independent)

Your Turn 7.34 (c) §7.10 source ↗

Decide whether the following experiments are binomial experiments:

Draw a card from a well-shuffled deck, note whether it is a ♣ or not, and replace it. Repeat this process 5 times.

Answer

A binomial trial has two outcomes. A binomial experiment is an experiment with a fixed number of repeated binomial trials, where each trial has the same probability of success.

This is binomial because there are two outcomes (club or not club) and a fixed number of trials.

Binomial

Your Turn 7.34 (d) §7.10 source ↗

Decide whether the following experiments are binomial experiments:

Draw cards from a well-shuffled deck until you get a ♣ .

Answer

A binomial trial has two outcomes. A binomial experiment is an experiment with a fixed number of repeated binomial trials, where each trial has the same probability of success.

This is not binomial because the number of trials was not determined ahead of time.

Not binomial (number of trials isn’t fixed)

Your Turn 7.35 §7.10 source ↗

Compute the probabilities (rounded to 3 decimal places) of the following events related to rolling a standard 4-sided die (with faces labeled 1, 2, 3, and 4):

You roll the die 10 times and get exactly four 2s.

Answer

Binomial formula: For a binomial experiment with n trials and p probability of success in each trial, then P(number of a successes) = n C a × p a × ( 1 − p ) n − a .

There is one 2 out of 4 sides, so p is 1 4 .

P(exactly four 2s in 10 rolls) = ( 10 C 4 ) ( 1 4 ) 4 ( 1 − 1 4 ) 10 − 4 .

( 210 ) ( 1 4 ) 4 ( 3 4 ) 6 = 153 , 090 1 , 048 , 576 ≈ 0.146

0.146

Your Turn 7.35 (b) §7.10 source ↗

Compute the probabilities (rounded to 3 decimal places) of the following events related to rolling a standard 4-sided die (with faces labeled 1, 2, 3, and 4):

You roll the die 20 times and get exactly four 2s.

Answer

Binomial formula: For a binomial experiment with n trials and p probability of success in each trial, then P(number of a successes) = n C a × p a × ( 1 − p ) n − a .

There is one 2 out of 4 sides, so p is 1 4 .

P(exactly four 2s in 20 rolls) = ( 20 C 4 ) ( 1 4 ) 4 ( 1 − 1 4 ) 20 − 4 .

( 4 , 845 ) ( 1 4 ) 4 ( 3 4 ) 16 ≈ 0.190

0.190

Your Turn 7.35 (c) §7.10 source ↗

Compute the probabilities (rounded to 3 decimal places) of the following events related to rolling a standard 4-sided die (with faces labeled 1, 2, 3, and 4):

You roll the die 30 times and get exactly four 2s.

Answer

Binomial formula: For a binomial experiment with n trials and p probability of success in each trial, then P(number of a successes) = n C a × p a × ( 1 − p ) n − a .

There is one 2 out of 4 sides, so p is 1 4 .

P(exactly four 2s in 20 rolls) = ( 30 C 4 ) ( 1 4 ) 4 ( 1 − 1 4 ) 30 − 4 .

( 27 , 405 ) ( 1 4 ) 4 ( 3 4 ) 26 ≈ 0.060

0.060

Your Turn 7.36 §7.10 source ↗

You are about to roll a standard 6-sided die 20 times. Let S denote a success, which will be rolling a number greater than 4. Find the probabilities of the following events, rounded to 4 decimal places:

S ≤ 5

Answer

Google Sheets can be used to compute cumulative binomial distributions. The event is sides less than or equal to 5.

There are two sides greater than 4: 5 and 6. The probability is 2 6 = 1 3 ≈ 0.333333 .

In Google Sheets, enter “=BINOMDIST(5, 20, 0.33333, TRUE)” to get your answer: 0.02972.

0.2972

Your Turn 7.36 (b) §7.10 source ↗

You are about to roll a standard 6-sided die 20 times. Let S denote a success, which will be rolling a number greater than 4. Find the probabilities of the following events, rounded to 4 decimal places:

S < 8

Answer

This uses the wrong inequality. Instead of S < 8, you want S ≤ 7.

There are two sides greater than 4: 5 and 6. The probability is 2 6 = 1 3 ≈ 0.333333 .

In Google Sheets, enter “=BINOMDIST(7, 20, 0.33333, TRUE)” to get your answer: 0.6615.

0.6615

Your Turn 7.36 (c) §7.10 source ↗

You are about to roll a standard 6-sided die 20 times. Let S denote a success, which will be rolling a number greater than 4. Find the probabilities of the following events, rounded to 4 decimal places:

S > 10

Answer

0.0919

Your Turn 7.36 (d) §7.10 source ↗

You are about to roll a standard 6-sided die 20 times. Let S denote a success, which will be rolling a number greater than 4. Find the probabilities of the following events, rounded to 4 decimal places:

S ≥ 7

Answer

This goes in the wrong direction, so you will use complements. First find S ≤ 6.

In Google Sheets, enter “=BINOMDIST(6, 20, 0.33333, TRUE)” to get the answer.0.4793554…

Your answer is 1   −   0.4793   =   0.5207 .

0.5207

Your Turn 7.36 (e) §7.10 source ↗

You are about to roll a standard 6-sided die 20 times. Let S denote a success, which will be rolling a number greater than 4. Find the probabilities of the following events, rounded to 4 decimal places:

5 < S < 8

Answer

You are looking for the outcome {6,7}.

To do this, you will find S ≤ 7 and subtract S ≤ 5.

In Google Sheets, enter “=BINOMDIST(7, 20, 0.33333, TRUE)” to get the answer 0.66148…

In Google Sheets, enter “=BINOMDIST(5, 20, 0.33333, TRUE)” to get the answer 0.2972248…

Subtract the two answers to find the chance of 5 < S < 8 is approximately 0.3643.

0.3643

Check Your Understanding 7.10.56 §7.10 source ↗

You are rolling a 6-sided die with 3 orange faces, 2 green faces, and 1 blue face.

If you roll the die 5 times and note the color showing on each roll, is this a binomial experiment?

Answer

A binomial trial has two outcomes. A binomial experiment is an experiment with a fixed number of repeated binomial trials, where each trial has the same probability of success.

This is not binomial because it has more than two outcomes.

No (more than two outcomes)

Check Your Understanding 7.10.57 §7.10 source ↗

You are rolling a 6-sided die with 3 orange faces, 2 green faces, and 1 blue face.

If you roll the die 5 times and count the number times you roll a green face, is this a binomial experiment?

Answer

A binomial trial has two outcomes. A binomial experiment is an experiment with a fixed number of repeated binomial trials, where each trial has the same probability of success.

This is binomial because it has two outcomes: a green face or no green face.

Yes

Check Your Understanding 7.10.58 §7.10 source ↗

You are rolling a 6-sided die with 3 orange faces, 2 green faces, and 1 blue face.

If you count how many times you roll the die until you get a blue face, is this a binomial experiment?

Answer

A binomial trial has two outcomes. A binomial experiment is an experiment with a fixed number of repeated binomial trials, where each trial has the same probability of success.

It is not binomial, because you did not determine the number of trials before you started.

No (number of trials is not fixed)

Check Your Understanding 7.10.59 §7.10 source ↗

Suppose you’re rolling the same colored 6-sided die 10 times. Let O , G , and B represent the number of times the die lands with an orange, green, and blue side up, respectively. Find these probabilities (round to 4 decimal places):

P ( O ≤ 7 )

Answer

The 6-sided die has 3 orange faces, 2 green faces, and 1 blue face.

There are 3 orange faces out of 6 sides, so p is 3 6 = 1 2 .

P ( O  ≤   7 ) in 10 tries.

Google Sheets can be used to compute cumulative binomial distributions. The event is sides less than or equal to 5.

In Google Sheets, enter “=BINOMDIST(7, 10, 0.5, TRUE)” to get your answer: 0.9453.

0.9453

Check Your Understanding 7.10.60 §7.10 source ↗

Suppose you’re rolling the same colored 6-sided die 10 times. Let O , G , and B represent the number of times the die lands with an orange, green, and blue side up, respectively. Find these probabilities (round to 4 decimal places):

P ( G = 5 )

Answer

The 6-sided die has 3 orange faces, 2 green faces, and 1 blue face.

Binomial formula: For a binomial experiment with n trials and p probability of success in each trial, then P(number of a successes) = n C a × p a × ( 1 − p ) n − a .

There are 2 green faces out of 6 sides, so p is 2 6 = 1 3 .

P(exactly 5 greens in10 rolls) = ( 10 C 5 ) ( 1 3 ) 5 ( 1 − 1 3 ) 10 − 5 .

( 252 ) ( 1 3 ) 5 ( 2 3 ) 5 ≈ 0.1366

0.1366

Check Your Understanding 7.10.61 §7.10 source ↗

Suppose you’re rolling the same colored 6-sided die 10 times. Let O , G , and B represent the number of times the die lands with an orange, green, and blue side up, respectively. Find these probabilities (round to 4 decimal places):

P ( 1 ≤ B ≤ 4 )

Answer

1   ≤  B  ≤   4

You are looking for the outcome {1, 2, 3, 4}.

To do this, you will find B  ≤   4 and subtract B  ≤   0 .

The 6-sided die has 3 orange faces, 2 green faces, and 1 blue face.

The probability of a blue side is 1/6.

In Google Sheets, enter “=BINOMDIST(4,10, 0.1666666, TRUE)” to get the answer 0.98454.

In Google Sheets, enter “=BINOMDIST(0,10, 0.1666666, TRUE)” to get the answer 0.16151.

Subtracting the two, you get 0.8230.

0.8230

Your Turn 7.37 §7.11 source ↗

Find the expected value of the number showing when you roll a special 6-sided die with faces {1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8}.

Answer

10 3

If O represents an outcome of an experiment and n(O) the value of that outcome, then the expected value of the experiment is ∑ n ( O ) × P ( O ) .

The sides of the die each has a probability of 1 6 . Multiply the value showing on each face times the probability of each side. Do not simplify the fractions because it makes it easier to add the fractions to keep this way.

Value Probability n ( O ) × P ( O )
1 1 6 1 6
1 1 6 1 6
2 1 6 2 6
3 1 6 3 6
5 1 6 5 6
8 1 6 8 6

The sum of the numbers in the last column is the expected value = 20 6 = 10 3 .

The expected value is 10 3 .

Your Turn 7.37 (b) §7.11 source ↗

Find the expected value of the number of heads showing if you flip a coin 3 times.

Answer

3 2
  # Heads Probability n ( O ) × P ( O )
HHH 3 1 8 3 8
HHT 2 1 8 2 8
HTH 2 1 8 2 8
HTT 1 1 8 1 8
THH 2 1 8 2 8
THT 1 1 8 1 8
TTH 1 1 8 1 8
TTT 0 1 8 0

The sum of the numbers in the last column is the expected value = 12 8 = 3 2 .

Your Turn 7.37 (c) §7.11 source ↗

You are about to play a game, where you flip a coin 3 times. If all 3 flips result in heads, you win $20. If you get 2 heads, you win $10. If you flip 1 or 0 heads, you win nothing. What is the expected value of your winnings?

Answer

25 4 = $6.25
  # Heads Probability Value Probability × Value
HHH 3 1 8 $20 20 8
HHT 2 1 8 $10 10 8
HTH 2 1 8 $10 10 8
HTT 1 1 8 0 0
THH 2 1 8 $10 10 8
THT 1 1 8 0 0
TTH 1 1 8 0 0
TTT 0 1 8 0 0

The sum of the numbers in the last column is the expected value = 50 8 = 25 4 = $6.25.

Your Turn 7.38 §7.11 source ↗

Interpret the expected value of the number showing when you roll a special 6-sided die with faces {1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8}.

Answer

From the previous exercise, you know the expected value is 10 3 , which is approximately 3.33. If you roll the die repeatedly, you expect the mean of the numbers showing would be around 3.33. If you roll the special die many times, the mean of the numbers showing will be around 3.33.

Your Turn 7.38 (b) §7.11 source ↗

Interpret the expected value of the number of heads showing if you flip a coin 3 times.

Answer

From the previous exercise, you know the expected value is 3 2 , or 1.5. If you repeatedly flip a coin three times, you can expect the average number of heads to be 1.5 heads. If you repeat the coin-flipping experiment many times, the mean of the number of heads you get will be around 1.5.

Your Turn 7.38 (c) §7.11 source ↗

You are about to play a game where you flip a coin 3 times. If all 3 flips result in heads, you win $20. If you get 2 heads, you win $10. If you flip 1 or 0 heads, you win nothing. Interpret the expected value of your winnings.

Answer

If you play this game many times, the mean of your winnings will be around $10.

Your Turn 7.39 §7.11 source ↗

The casino game craps involves rolling 2 standard 6-sided dice. While the main game involves repeated rolls of the dice, players can also bet on the outcomes of single rolls. Find the expected values of the following three $1 bets. Then decide which bet is the best for the player and which bet is the best for the casino.

Players can bet on the next roll of the dice being a sum of 7. Winners get $4 and losers lose $1.

Answer

Possible sums when rolling two dice:

  2nd roll            
SUM Choices 1 2 3 4 5 6
1st roll 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
  2 3 4 5 6 7 8
  3 4 5 6 7 8 9
  4 5 6 7 8 9 10
  5 6 7 8 9 10 11
  6 7 8 9 10 11 12

There are 36 possible outcomes. Six of those outcomes have a sum of 7.

30 outcomes do not have a sum of 7.

Roll result Value Probability Value × Probability
Sum of 7 Win $4 6 36 24 36
Sum not 7 Lose $1 30 36 − 30 36
    Sum: − 6 36 = − 1 6 ≈ − $ 0.17.

The expected value of a bet on 7 is − 1 6 or a loss of $0.17.

If the player bets on 7, the expected value is − $ 0.17 .

Your Turn 7.39 (b) §7.11 source ↗

The casino game craps involves rolling 2 standard 6-sided dice. While the main game involves repeated rolls of the dice, players can also bet on the outcomes of single rolls. Find the expected values of the following three $1 bets. Then decide which bet is the best for the player and which bet is the best for the casino.

Players can bet on the next roll of the dice being a sum of 12. Winners get $30 and losers lose $1

Answer

Possible sums when rolling two dice:

  2nd roll            
SUM Choices 1 2 3 4 5 6
1st roll 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
  2 3 4 5 6 7 8
  3 4 5 6 7 8 9
  4 5 6 7 8 9 10
  5 6 7 8 9 10 11
  6 7 8 9 10 11 12

There are 36 possible outcomes. Only one of those outcomes has a sum of 12.

35 outcomes do not have a sum of 12.

Roll result Value Probability Value × Probability
Sum of 12 Win $30 1 36 30 36
Sum not 12 Lose $1 35 36 − 35 36
    Sum: − 5 36 ≈ $ 0.14

The expected value of a bet on 12 is − 5 36 or a loss of $0.14.

If the player bets on 12, the expected value is − $ 0.14 .

Your Turn 7.39 (c) §7.11 source ↗

The casino game craps involves rolling 2 standard 6-sided dice. While the main game involves repeated rolls of the dice, players can also bet on the outcomes of single rolls. Find the expected values of the following three $1 bets. Then decide which bet is the best for the player and which bet is the best for the casino.

Players can bet that the next roll of the dice will be “any craps” (a sum of 2, 3, or 12). Winners get $7 and losers lose $1.

Answer

Possible sums when rolling two dice:

  2nd roll            
SUM Choices 1 2 3 4 5 6
1st roll 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
  2 3 4 5 6 7 8
  3 4 5 6 7 8 9
  4 5 6 7 8 9 10
  5 6 7 8 9 10 11
  6 7 8 9 10 11 12

There are 36 possible outcomes. Four of those outcomes have a sum of 2, 3, or 12.

32 outcomes do not have a sum of 12.

Roll result Value Probability Value × Probability
Sum of 2, 3, or 12 Win $7 4 36 = 1 9 7 9
Sum not 2, 3, or 12 Lose $1 32 36 = 8 9 − 8 9
    Sum: − 1 9 ≈ − $ 0.11

The expected value of a bet on 2, 3, or 12 is − 1 9 or a loss of $0.11.

With all the bets, you lose money over the long run. You are better off not betting at all. If you must bet, you lose money at the slowest rate with the last bet. The “any craps” bet loses $0.11 on average per bet. Regarding the casino’s interests, the casino is better off with the bet on 7, since players lose the most with that bet.

If the player bets on any craps, the expected value is − $ 0.11 .
The best bet for the player is any craps; the best bet for the casino is the bet on 7.

Check Your Understanding 7.11.62 §7.11 source ↗

You are about to roll a 20-sided die with faces labeled as follows: 5 faces have a 1, 6 faces have a 3, 4 faces have a 5, 3 faces have a 7, and 2 faces have a 9.

What is the expected value of the number showing on the die after it’s rolled?

Answer

4.1
Value Probability n ( O ) × P ( O )
1 5 20 5 20
3 6 20 18 20
5 4 20 20 20
7 3 20 21 20
9 2 20 18 20
  Sum 82 20

The sum of the numbers in the last column is the expected value = 82 20 = 41 10 = 4.1 .

Check Your Understanding 7.11.63 §7.11 source ↗

You are about to roll a 20-sided die with faces labeled as follows: 5 faces have a 1, 6 faces have a 3, 4 faces have a 5, 3 faces have a 7, and 2 faces have a 9.

Interpret your answer.

Answer

If you roll this die many times, the mean of the numbers rolled will be around 4.1.

Check Your Understanding 7.11.64 §7.11 source ↗

You are about to play a game in which you draw 3 ping-pong balls without replacement from a barrel. The barrel contains 6 green balls and 4 red balls. If all 3 of your selections are green, you win $5. If 2 of the 3 are green, you win $1. If 2 or more of your selections are red, you lose $5.

What is the expected value of this game?

Answer

$0.417

Check Your Understanding 7.11.65 §7.11 source ↗

You are about to play a game in which you draw 3 ping-pong balls without replacement from a barrel. The barrel contains 6 green balls and 4 red balls. If all 3 of your selections are green, you win $5. If 2 of the 3 are green, you win $1. If 2 or more of your selections are red, you lose $5.

Interpret your answer.

Answer

If you play this game many times, the mean of the amount won/lost each time will be about 42 cents.

Check Your Understanding 7.11.66 §7.11 source ↗

You are about to play a game in which you draw 3 ping-pong balls without replacement from a barrel. The barrel contains 6 green balls and 4 red balls. If all 3 of your selections are green, you win $5. If 2 of the 3 are green, you win $1. If 2 or more of your selections are red, you lose $5.

Is it advantageous to you to play the game? How do you know?

Answer

Yes; the expected value is positive.

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Problems and answers are adapted from Contemporary Mathematics by Donna Kirk, OpenStax, and are used under the CC BY-NC-SA 4.0 licence. Access for free at https://openstax.org/books/contemporary-mathematics/pages/1-introduction. Illustrations: Copyright Rice University, OpenStax, under CC BY-NC-SA 4.0 license. This adaptation is released under the same licence, is non-commercial, and is neither affiliated with nor endorsed by OpenStax or Rice University.